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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga AVS — Alverca

Match AVS vs Alverca October 4, 2025

AVS
AVS
Home · last 5 D D W W D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 17:00
1:3
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves · Vila das Aves Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 44% · book 2.60
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 73% · book 1.44
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.83
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
0.42 – 1.27
Δ −0.85
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
2 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AVS vs Alverca — betting preview

Alverca carry the stronger overall level and a cleaner recent trend, while AVS have struggled to turn possession into threat. Expect a measured tempo with the visitors shading chance quality and AVS leaning on moments or set pieces. The model keeps away-sided outcomes in front and respects a controlled scoreline: fades of the AVS goal and conservative totals profile best, with draw protection on Alverca a sensible alternative.

Risks: an early AVS strike flipping the game state, set-piece variance, and a late stretch if Alverca chase or protect a narrow lead.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

AVS 4-2-3-1 · ALV 3-4-3
Subs used · AVS
57' Lourenco ↑ · Rivas
57' Kiki ↑ · Lima
72' Kodisang ↑ · Assuncao
72' Mendonca ↑ · Barbosa
84' Nene ↑ · Tomane
Subs used · ALV
62' Lima ↑ · Marezi
75' Nuozzi ↑ · Figueiredo
75' Mendes ↑ · Gui
88' Esteves ↑ · Lincoln
88' Cabezas ↑ · Amorim

📊 Statistics

AVS 13 ALV
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.42
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.27
5
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
6
2
Shots off Target
2
4
Shots Inside Box
9
0
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
6
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

19 · 1 – 3
Pedro Lima
Assist · D. Rivas · 1–0
9'
Pedro Lima
Yellow Card
24'
Babatunde Akinsola
Yellow Card
40'
45'
Amorim
1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
51'
Figueiredo
Assist · Lincoln · 1–2
B. Lourenco ↓ · D. Rivas ↑
Substitution 1
57'
Kiki ↓ · Pedro Lima ↑
Substitution 2
57'
Sidi Bane
Yellow Card
59'
62'
Sandro Lima ↓ · Marezi ↑
Substitution 1
66'
Bastien Meupiyou
Yellow Card
K. Kodisang ↓ · G. Assuncao ↑
Substitution 3
72'
G. Mendonca ↓ · R. Barbosa ↑
Substitution 4
72'
75'
C. Nuozzi ↓ · Figueiredo ↑
Substitution 2
75'
T. Mendes ↓ · D. Gui ↑
Substitution 3
Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑
Substitution 5
84'
88'
G. Esteves ↓ · Lincoln ↑
Substitution 4
88'
G. Cabezas ↓ · Amorim ↑
Substitution 5
90'
G. Esteves
Assist · Sandro Lima · 1–3
90+6'
Gonçalo Esteves
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 2 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.60 44% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.44 73% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
BTTS No 1.83 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.77 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.20 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.60 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.05 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 5 L −2.96u −42% ROI