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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga GIL Vicente — Estrela

Match GIL Vicente vs Estrela October 4, 2025

GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 L W D L L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 14:30
2:0
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee Marcio Torres, Portugal
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 38% · book 2.91
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.65
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 27% · book 3.70
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.36 – 0.97
Δ +1.39
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
2 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Gil Vicente vs Estrela — betting preview

Baseline reads a tight, defense-first game. Gil Vicente carry the sturdier back line and the cleaner home trend, while Estrela’s away threat looks patchy. That combination tilts toward conservative totals and selective fades of the away scoring output. 1X2 leans hosts, but prices are already short; the cleaner angles sit in team totals and low totals.

Risks: early set-piece breaking structure; late game state stretch if someone chases.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

VIC 4-1-4-1 · EST 3-4-3
Subs used · VIC
60' Daniel ↑ · Souza
60' Mutombo ↑ · Fernandes
67' Carlos ↑ · Garcia
68' Varela ↑ · Pablo
84' Espigares ↑ · Konan
Subs used · EST
46' Encada ↑ · Stoica
60' Godoy ↑ · Chernev
60' Carlos ↑ · Montoia
72' Antonetti ↑ · Pinho
84' Robinho ↑ · Moreira

📊 Statistics

VIC 20 EST
43%
Possession (%)
57%
2.36
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.97
15
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
15
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
2
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

18 · 2 – 0
24'
Bernardo Schappo
Yellow Card
Pablo
1–0
32'
41'
Atanas Chernev
Yellow Card
Pablo (P)
Penalty · 2–0
41'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
J. Encada ↓ · I. Stoica ↑
Substitution 1
Andrew
Red Card
56'
Figueira Daniel ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑
Substitution 1
60'
J. Mutombo ↓ · J. Fernandes ↑
Substitution 2
60'
60'
A. Godoy ↓ · A. Chernev ↑
Substitution 2
60'
Ryan Carlos ↓ · G. Montoia ↑
Substitution 3
Ze Carlos ↓ · S. Garcia ↑
Substitution 3
67'
G. Varela ↓ · Pablo ↑
Substitution 4
68'
72'
L. Antonetti ↓ · Rodrigo Pinho ↑
Substitution 4
A. Espigares ↓ · G. Konan ↑
Substitution 5
84'
84'
Robinho ↓ · P. Moreira ↑
Substitution 5
Daniel Figueira
Yellow Card
87'
89'
Renan Ribeiro
Yellow Card
Luís Esteves
Yellow Card
90+1'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 2 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 1.5 2.91 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.65 62% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Draw 3.70 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.20 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.75 55% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 3 L −1.60u −32% ROI