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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Newcastle — Aston Villa

Match Newcastle vs Aston Villa January 25, 2026

Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 14:00
0:2
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 59% · book 1.87
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.45
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.32
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
2.30 – 1.16
Δ +1.14
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Newcastle arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a slight edge in attacking versus Aston Villa's defense. Despite Villa's higher overall quality rating, Newcastle's compact defensive block and home comfort could balance the scales. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with both sides capable of pressing effectively.

  • Newcastle's home edge in defense may frustrate Villa's attack.
  • Villa's quality advantage suggests threat on the break.
  • Recent form favors Newcastle's confidence and resilience.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NEW 4-3-3 · AST 4-2-3-1
Subs used · NEW
48' Ramsey ↑ · Joelinton
62' Woltemade ↑ · Wissa
63' Elanga ↑ · Gordon
84' Willock ↑ · Tonali
Subs used · AST
59' Bailey ↑ · Sancho
74' Bogarde ↑ · Tielemans
75' Digne ↑ · Buendia
75' Mings ↑ · Torres
89' Lindelof ↑ · Onana

📊 Statistics

NEW 02 AST
60%
Possession (%)
40%
2.30
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.16
15
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
8
4
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
12
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
1
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

14 · 0 – 2
19'
E. Buendia
Assist · M. Rogers · 0–1
Joelinton
Yellow Card
27'
Half-time · 0 – 1
J. Ramsey ↓ · Joelinton ↑
Substitution 1
48'
59'
L. Bailey ↓ · J. Sancho ↑
Substitution 1
N. Woltemade ↓ · Y. Wissa ↑
Substitution 2
62'
A. Elanga ↓ · A. Gordon ↑
Substitution 3
63'
74'
L. Bogarde ↓ · Y. Tielemans ↑
Substitution 2
75'
L. Digne ↓ · E. Buendia ↑
Substitution 3
75'
T. Mings ↓ · P. Torres ↑
Substitution 4
79'
Lucas Digne
Yellow Card
J. Willock ↓ · S. Tonali ↑
Substitution 4
84'
88'
O. Watkins
Assist · L. Digne · 0–2
89'
V. Lindelof ↓ · A. Onana ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
Ian Maatsen
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.87 59% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS No 2.45 42% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.32 44% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.71 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.76 35% Cashed +1.76 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.60 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.70 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.05 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.76 35% Cashed +2.76 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.52 66% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.32 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.60 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 79% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.50 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.50 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.85 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.05u −0% ROI