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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Liverpool — Burnley

Match Liverpool vs Burnley January 17, 2026

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L D L D Away · last 5
Anfield · Liverpool Referee Andy Madley, England
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 68% · book 1.68 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.60 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.75 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.95 – 0.40
Δ +2.55
Possession
73% – 27%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.68 — +13.6% better than the market.

Liverpool hosts Burnley at Anfield with a clear quality edge and home momentum. Liverpool's strong defensive record and superior attacking potential against Burnley's modest defense suggest control over the match tempo. Recent form favors Liverpool slightly, and the home side's pressing and set-piece threat could limit Burnley's chances.

  • Home advantage with a solid defensive base
  • Burnley's struggle to break down compact defenses
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring Liverpool's control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.68 ✓ Cashed
AI 68% Implied 60% +0.68u
+68%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIV 4-2-3-1 · BUR 3-4-2-1
LIV · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · BUR 1 Alisson 30 Frimpong 5 Konaté 4 Dijk 6 Kerkez 38 Gravenberch 8 Szoboszlai 7 Wirtz ⚽ 17 Jones 18 Gakpo 22 Ekitiké 1 Dúbravka 6 Tuanzebe 5 Estève 12 Humphreys 2 Walker 8 Ugochukwu 16 Luís 23 Pires 10 Edwards ⚽ 11 Anthony 27 Broja
Subs used · LIV
78' Mac Allister ↑ · Gravenberch ↓
78' Robertson ↑ · Kerkez ↓
78' Ngumoha ↑ · Gakpo ↓
87' Chiesa ↑ · Jones ↓
Subs used · BUR
74' Foster ↑ · Broja ↓
74' Ekdal ↑ · Esteve ↓
85' Laurent ↑ · Ugochukwu ↓
90' Tchaouna ↑ · Florentino ↓
90' Mejbri ↑ · Edwards ↓

📊 Statistics

LIV 1 – 1 BUR
73%
Possession (%)
27%
2.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.40
32
Total Shots
7
11
Shots on Target
1
8
Shots off Target
4
20
Shots Inside Box
5
9
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
10
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
8

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 1
-5'
▮
Ashley Barnes
Yellow Card
Miloš Kerkez
Yellow Card
▮
40'
F. Wirtz
Assist · C. Jones · 1–0
⚽
42'
Half-time · 1 – 0
65'
⚽
M. Edwards
Assist · Florentino · 1–1
74'
⇄
L. Foster ↓ · A. Broja ↑
Substitution 1
74'
⇄
H. Ekdal ↓ · M. Esteve ↑
Substitution 2
A. Mac Allister ↓ · R. Gravenberch ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
78'
A. Robertson ↓ · M. Kerkez ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
78'
R. Ngumoha ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
85'
⇄
J. Laurent ↓ · L. Ugochukwu ↑
Substitution 3
F. Chiesa ↓ · C. Jones ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
90'
⇄
L. Tchaouna ↓ · Florentino ↑
Substitution 4
90'
⇄
H. Mejbri ↓ · M. Edwards ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
▮
Bashir Humphreys
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.68 — 68% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.60 — 46% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
BTTS No 1.75 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.16 — 44% Cashed +1.16 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.39 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.75 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.00 — 16% Cashed +6.00 Cashed
Home Win 1.27 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.06 — 95% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.05 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 18.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 93% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Double Chance X2 4.45 — 21% Cashed +3.45 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 — 77% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Away Win 15.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.60 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +4.16u +24% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
LIV – BUR @ 1.68
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →