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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Como — Parma

Match Como vs Parma May 17, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Como
Como
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 10:00
1:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.32
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.73
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 42% · book 2.25
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
2.90 – 0.43
Δ +2.47
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Como enters this clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a stronger attack against Parma's less resilient defense. Their recent form shows signs of resilience despite a couple of losses, while Parma's mixed results hint at inconsistency. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Parma's defensive vulnerabilities.

  • Como's offensive pressure likely to challenge Parma's backline
  • Home advantage adds a tactical pressing edge
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

COM 4-2-3-1 · PAR 3-5-2
Subs used · COM
53' Rodriguez ↑ · Caqueret
71' Smolcic ↑ · Van der Brempt
82' Carlos ↑ · O. Kempf
82' Morata ↑ · Douvikas
82' Roberto ↑ · Baturina
Subs used · PAR
59' Elphege ↑ · Strefezza
71' Sorensen ↑ · Ordonez
71' Valeri ↑ · Carboni
71' Estevez ↑ · Nicolussi Caviglia
85' Mikolajewski ↑ · Elphege

📊 Statistics

COM 10 PAR
66%
Possession (%)
34%
2.90
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.43
23
Total Shots
2
7
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
0
15
Shots Inside Box
2
15
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
4
10
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
2
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

13 · 1 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
J. Rodriguez ↓ · M. Caqueret ↑
Substitution 1
53'
A. Moreno
Assist · J. Rodriguez · 1–0
58'
59'
N. Elphege ↓ · G. Strefezza ↑
Substitution 1
A. Moreno
Yellow Card
65'
71'
O. Sorensen ↓ · C. Ordonez ↑
Substitution 2
71'
E. Valeri ↓ · F. Carboni ↑
Substitution 3
71'
N. Estevez ↓ · H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↑
Substitution 4
I. Smolcic ↓ · I. Van der Brempt ↑
Substitution 2
71'
Diego Carlos ↓ · M. O. Kempf ↑
Substitution 3
82'
A. Morata ↓ · A. Douvikas ↑
Substitution 4
82'
S. Roberto ↓ · M. Baturina ↑
Substitution 5
82'
85'
D. Mikolajewski ↓ · N. Elphege ↑
Substitution 5
J. Ramon
Yellow Card
88'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.32 2.29 48% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
BTTS No 1.73 1.70 58% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.25 2.07 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.71 1.67 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.62 2.62 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 4.50 24% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Draw 6.27 5.26 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 1.47 69% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.05 1.04 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.27 1.30 77% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.04 1.05 77% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 14.93 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.14 3.66 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.01 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 1.20 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 13.90 11.36 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 7.40 6.76 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.05u −12% ROI