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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Pisa — Lecce

Match Pisa vs Lecce May 1, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 01 May · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee D. Doveri
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 64% · book 1.83
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.59
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 45% · book 2.70
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
2.23 – 1.14
Δ +1.09
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Pisa hosts Lecce in a Serie A clash where home momentum is lacking, with Pisa on a losing streak contrasting Lecce's steadier form. The away side holds a slight quality edge and defensive solidity, while Pisa's home edge is minimal, suggesting a tactical battle leaning towards a compact defensive setup.

  • Lecce's defensive resilience may stifle Pisa's modest attack.
  • Recent form favors Lecce's ability to avoid defeat.
  • Low-scoring game likely given cautious approaches and under 2.5 goals odds.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PIS 3-5-2 · LEC 4-2-3-1
Subs used · PIS
64' Toure ↑ · Angori
70' Piccinini ↑ · Vural
70' Meister ↑ · Stojilkovic
81' Cuadrado ↑ · Bozhinov
81' Durosinmi ↑ · Akinsanmiro
Subs used · LEC
71' Jean ↑ · Banda
71' Camarda ↑ · Cheddira
90+3' Gandelman ↑ · Pierotti

📊 Statistics

PIS 12 LEC
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.23
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.14
18
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
2
14
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
1
6
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
13
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
4
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

17 · 1 – 2
A. Caracciolo
Yellow Card
43'
Half-time · 0 – 0
52'
L. Banda
Assist · W. Cheddira · 0–1
M. Leris
1–1
56'
M. Aebischer
Yellow Card
61'
I. Toure ↓ · S. Angori ↑
Substitution 1
64'
65'
W. Cheddira
Assist · S. Pierotti · 1–2
66'
W. Cheddira
Yellow Card
G. Piccinini ↓ · I. Vural ↑
Substitution 2
70'
H. Meister ↓ · F. Stojilkovic ↑
Substitution 3
70'
71'
G. Jean ↓ · L. Banda ↑
Substitution 1
71'
F. Camarda ↓ · W. Cheddira ↑
Substitution 2
J. Cuadrado ↓ · R. Bozhinov ↑
Substitution 4
81'
R. Durosinmi ↓ · E. Akinsanmiro ↑
Substitution 5
81'
R. Durosinmi
Yellow Card
82'
88'
S. Pierotti
Yellow Card
H. Meister
Yellow Card
90'
90+3'
O. Gandelman ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.83 1.69 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.59 2.30 47% Cashed +1.59 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.70 2.55 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.77 1.59 47% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.60 2.62 29% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.05 2.10 36% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.22 2.42 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.58 1.45 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 6.49 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.39 1.29 76% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Draw 3.11 2.95 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.57 1.58 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.50 1.53 55% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.17 1.14 87% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.11 1.07 82% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Home Win 3.30 3.50 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.00 5.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.82u −17% ROI