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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Lecce — Fiorentina

Match Lecce vs Fiorentina April 20, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Mon 20 Apr · 18:45
1:1
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee Fabio Maresca, Italy
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.22
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.76
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.93
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.46 – 1.25
Δ +0.21
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Fiorentina holds a clear quality edge over Lecce, reflected in their stronger offensive and defensive metrics. Lecce's recent form shows signs of struggle, while Fiorentina arrives with momentum and a more balanced attack. The home side's defensive solidity may limit chances, but Fiorentina's pressing and creativity could unlock opportunities.

  • Fiorentina's attacking threat contrasts with Lecce's defensive resilience.
  • Recent form favors the visitors, suggesting confidence on the road.
  • Moderate pace expected, hinting at a tactical, measured contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEC 4-2-3-1 · FIO 4-3-3
Subs used · LEC
56' Banda ↑ · Ndri
57' Gandelman ↑ · Ngom
57' Stulic ↑ · Cheddira
85' Ndaba ↑ · Gallo
Subs used · FIO
11' Balbo ↑ · Gosens
60' Solomon ↑ · Gudmundsson
80' Fazzini ↑ · Harrison
80' Fabbian ↑ · Fagioli
80' Brescianini ↑ · Ndour

📊 Statistics

LEC 11 FIO
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.25
14
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
13
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
11'
L. Balbo ↓ · R. Gosens ↑
Substitution 1
30'
J. Harrison
Assist · R. Mandragora · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
L. Banda ↓ · K. Ndri ↑
Substitution 1
56'
O. Gandelman ↓ · O. Ngom ↑
Substitution 2
57'
N. Stulic ↓ · W. Cheddira ↑
Substitution 3
57'
60'
M. Solomon ↓ · A. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 2
Santiago Pierotti
Yellow Card
62'
Tiago Gabriel
Assist · A. Gallo · 1–1
71'
Tiago Gabriel
Yellow Card
72'
76'
David De Gea
Yellow Card
79'
Marin Pongračić
Yellow Card
80'
J. Fazzini ↓ · J. Harrison ↑
Substitution 3
80'
G. Fabbian ↓ · N. Fagioli ↑
Substitution 4
80'
M. Brescianini ↓ · C. Ndour ↑
Substitution 5
82'
Jacopo Fazzini
Yellow Card
C. Ndaba ↓ · A. Gallo ↑
Substitution 4
85'
90+1'
Manor Solomon
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.22 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.76 60% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS No 1.93 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.24 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 45% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.74 47% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.55 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.20 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.34 79% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 66% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.57 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.26 80% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 89% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.48 26% Cashed +2.48 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.10 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.60 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.02u −18% ROI