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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A AC Milan — Udinese

Match AC Milan vs Udinese April 11, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 16:00
0:3
Full-time
Udinese
Udinese
D W W L L Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Matteo Marchetti, Italy
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 47% · book 2.14
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.08
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.87
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
1.65 – 1.24
Δ +0.41
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AC Milan hosts Udinese with a clear quality edge, backed by a strong home defensive record and a potent attack that outmatches Udinese’s defense. Despite Milan’s patchy recent form, their home momentum and tactical discipline should limit Udinese’s chances. Expect a controlled tempo with Milan pressing high and exploiting set-piece opportunities.

  • Milan’s defensive solidity at home contrasts Udinese’s weaker backline.
  • Udinese’s attack struggles against compact blocks, favoring Milan’s pressing style.
  • Moderate pace expected, aligning with balanced over/under odds.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MIL 4-3-3 · UDI 3-5-2
Subs used · MIL
46' Fullkrug ↑ · Athekame
60' Fofana ↑ · Ricci
72' Nkunku ↑ · Pulisic
72' Jashari ↑ · Modric
77' Loftus-Cheek ↑ · Leao
Subs used · UDI
66' Piotrowski ↑ · Zaniolo
76' Gueye ↑ · Davis
85' Zarraga ↑ · Atta
86' Miller ↑ · Ekkelenkamp

📊 Statistics

MIL 03 UDI
63%
Possession (%)
37%
1.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.24
20
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
6
8
Shots off Target
4
14
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
3
9
Fouls
14
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 0 – 3
Rafael Leão
Yellow Card
16'
27'
D. Bartesaghi
Own goal · 0–1
37'
J. Ekkelenkamp
Assist · N. Zaniolo · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
46'
Thomas Kristensen
Yellow Card
N. Fullkrug ↓ · Z. Athekame ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Y. Fofana ↓ · S. Ricci ↑
Substitution 2
60'
66'
J. Piotrowski ↓ · N. Zaniolo ↑
Substitution 1
71'
A. Atta
Assist · J. Ekkelenkamp · 0–3
C. Nkunku ↓ · C. Pulisic ↑
Substitution 3
72'
A. Jashari ↓ · L. Modric ↑
Substitution 4
72'
76'
I. Gueye ↓ · K. Davis ↑
Substitution 2
R. Loftus-Cheek ↓ · R. Leao ↑
Substitution 5
77'
85'
O. Zarraga ↓ · A. Atta ↑
Substitution 3
86'
L. Miller ↓ · J. Ekkelenkamp ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.14 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.08 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.87 52% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 53% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Home Win 1.50 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.12 92% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 70% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.95 29% Cashed +1.95 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.12 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.86 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.10 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 76% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.70 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 9.00 8% Cashed +8.00 Cashed
AH Away 0 6.00 8% Cashed +5.00 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +8.36u +49% ROI