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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Cremonese — Bologna

Match Cremonese vs Bologna April 5, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Cremonese
Cremonese
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Sun 05 Apr · 13:00
1:2
Full-time
Bologna
Bologna
L D W W D Away · last 5
Stadio Giovanni Zini · Cremona Referee R. Abisso
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.85
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.24
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.00
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.42 – 1.11
Δ +0.31
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.85 — +8.4% better than the market.

Bologna arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Cremonese’s defensive solidity might keep things tight, but Bologna’s sharper attack and consistent away momentum could unlock chances. The pace hints at a moderately open game, though both sides have shown mixed results lately.

  • Bologna’s offensive edge against Cremonese’s defense offers scoring potential.
  • Home side’s recent struggles may limit their attacking threat.
  • Moderate tempo likely favors tactical discipline over wild open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.85 ✗ Lost
AI 59% Implied 54% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CRE 4-1-3-2 · BOL 4-1-4-1
Subs used · CRE
46' Thorsby ↑ · Vandeputte
46' Okereke ↑ · Djuric
46' Bondo ↑ · Grassi
53' Payero
85' Floriani ↑ · Zerbin
Subs used · BOL
61' Orsolini ↑ · Bernardeschi
78' Cambiaghi ↑ · Rowe
78' Ferguson ↑ · Sohm
82' Zortea ↑ · Mario
82' Pobega ↑ · Moro

📊 Statistics

CRE 12 BOL
37%
Possession (%)
63%
1.42
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.11
9
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
7
4
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
15
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

20 · 1 – 2
3'
Joao Mario
Assist · J. Miranda · 0–1
16'
J. Rowe
Assist · J. Miranda · 0–2
Youssef Maleh
Yellow Card
45'
Half-time · 0 – 2
M. Thorsby ↓ · J. Vandeputte ↑
Substitution 1
46'
D. Okereke ↓ · M. Djuric ↑
Substitution 2
46'
W. Bondo ↓ · A. Grassi ↑
Substitution 3
46'
M. Payero ↓ ·
Substitution 4
53'
61'
R. Orsolini ↓ · F. Bernardeschi ↑
Substitution 1
75'
Federico Ravaglia
Yellow Card
78'
N. Cambiaghi ↓ · J. Rowe ↑
Substitution 2
78'
L. Ferguson ↓ · S. Sohm ↑
Substitution 3
82'
N. Zortea ↓ · Joao Mario ↑
Substitution 4
82'
T. Pobega ↓ · N. Moro ↑
Substitution 5
R. Floriani ↓ · A. Zerbin ↑
Substitution 5
85'
F. Bonazzoli (P)
Penalty · 1–2
90'
Youssef Maleh
Red Card
90+4'
Martín Payero
Yellow Card
90+5'
90+5'
Lewis Ferguson
Yellow Card
90+6'
Lewis Ferguson
Yellow Card
90+6'
Lewis Ferguson
Red Card
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.85 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.24 53% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.12 41% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.83 47% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.73 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.64 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.47 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.34 80% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.58 53% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 79% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.46 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.36 68% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.80 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.64 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.14u −24% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
CRE – BOL @ 1.85
+8.4%
Edge
Forecast →