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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Napoli — AC Milan

Match Napoli vs AC Milan April 6, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Mon 06 Apr · 18:45
1:0
Full-time
AC Milan
AC Milan
D L L W L Away · last 5
Referee Daniele Doveri, Italy
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.37
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 1.95
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 1.93
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.75 – 0.47
Δ +0.28
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Napoli hosts AC Milan in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but Napoli’s strong home momentum and defensive solidity could balance the scales. Napoli’s recent form shows consistent wins, while Milan’s patchy results hint at vulnerability. Expect a tactical battle with Napoli’s compact block challenging Milan’s potent attack.

  • Napoli’s home edge in defense may stifle Milan’s offense
  • Milan’s higher offensive index suggests goal threat
  • Moderate pace expected, with a balanced goal environment

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NAP 3-4-2-1 · MIL 3-5-2
Subs used · NAP
70' Santos ↑ · Giovane
74' Politano ↑ · Spinazzola
85' Elmas ↑ · De Bruyne
85' Beukema ↑ · Jesus
Subs used · MIL
62' Athekame ↑ · Saelemaekers
63' Gimenez ↑ · Fullkrug
74' Pulisic ↑ · Nkunku
82' Loftus-Cheek ↑ · Tomori
82' Leao ↑ · Fofana

📊 Statistics

NAP 10 MIL
53%
Possession (%)
47%
0.75
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.47
10
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
6
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

12 · 1 – 0
Alessandro Buongiorno
Yellow Card
12'
Half-time · 0 – 0
62'
Z. Athekame ↓ · A. Saelemaekers ↑
Substitution 1
63'
S. Gimenez ↓ · N. Fullkrug ↑
Substitution 2
Alisson Santos ↓ · Giovane ↑
Substitution 1
70'
M. Politano ↓ · L. Spinazzola ↑
Substitution 2
74'
74'
C. Pulisic ↓ · C. Nkunku ↑
Substitution 3
M. Politano
1–0
79'
Matteo Politano
Yellow Card
81'
82'
R. Loftus-Cheek ↓ · F. Tomori ↑
Substitution 4
82'
R. Leao ↓ · Y. Fofana ↑
Substitution 5
E. Elmas ↓ · K. De Bruyne ↑
Substitution 3
85'
S. Beukema ↓ · Juan Jesus ↑
Substitution 4
85'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.37 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.93 49% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.69 54% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.20 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.60 31% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.78 31% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.56 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.25 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.40 60% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.40 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.44 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.11 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.01 29% Cashed +2.01 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 91% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.25 75% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.24u −13% ROI