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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Sassuolo — Cagliari

Match Sassuolo vs Cagliari April 4, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Referee D. Chiffi
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.76
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 56% · book 2.11
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.91
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.46 – 1.63
Δ −1.17
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.76 — +9.4% better than the market.

Sassuolo holds a clear quality edge and home momentum after recent wins, while Cagliari struggles with form and defensive solidity. Sassuolo's attacking edge against Cagliari's defense suggests chances, but a compact away block and cautious pace hint at a controlled game. Expect a tactical battle with Sassuolo pressing for control and Cagliari aiming to frustrate.

  • Home advantage with stronger squad depth
  • Recent form favors Sassuolo's confidence
  • Moderate tempo likely, limiting goal frenzy

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.76 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SAS 4-2-3-1 · CAG 3-5-2
Subs used · SAS
58' Matic ↑ · Volpato
58' Coulibaly ↑ · Romagna
69' Lipani ↑ · Kone
69' Bakola ↑ · Lauriente
82' Nzola ↑ · Pinamonti
Subs used · CAG
74' Borrelli ↑ · Folorunsho
75' Sulemana ↑ · Gaetano
83' Kilicsoy ↑ · Pedro
89' Mendy ↑ · Esposito
90' Zappa ↑ · Adopo

📊 Statistics

SAS 21 CAG
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.63
9
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
5
5
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
11
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

14 · 2 – 1
30'
S. Esposito (P)
Penalty · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
U. Garcia
1–1
50'
N. Matic ↓ · C. Volpato ↑
Substitution 1
58'
W. Coulibaly ↓ · F. Romagna ↑
Substitution 2
58'
L. Lipani ↓ · I. Kone ↑
Substitution 3
69'
D. Bakola ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑
Substitution 4
69'
74'
G. Borrelli ↓ · M. Folorunsho ↑
Substitution 1
75'
I. Sulemana ↓ · G. Gaetano ↑
Substitution 2
A. Pinamonti
Assist · D. Bakola · 2–1
78'
Andrea Pinamonti
Yellow Card
79'
M. Nzola ↓ · A. Pinamonti ↑
Substitution 5
82'
83'
S. Kilicsoy ↓ · J. Pedro ↑
Substitution 3
89'
P. Mendy ↓ · S. Esposito ↑
Substitution 4
90'
G. Zappa ↓ · M. Adopo ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.76 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.11 56% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 44% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.24 38% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.83 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.25 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 83% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 64% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.41 56% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 81% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 88% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.30 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.10 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.10 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.46 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.26u −25% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
SAS – CAG @ 1.76
+9.4%
Edge
Forecast →