P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Lazio — Parma

Match Lazio vs Parma April 4, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Lazio
Lazio
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 18:45
1:1
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Referee Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.88
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.69
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.73
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.40 – 0.44
Δ −0.04
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lazio Looks to Extend Home Momentum

Lazio holds a clear quality edge over Parma, boosted by a strong home form and a pressing edge in attack versus Parma's defense. Their recent winning streak at home contrasts with Parma's struggles on the road, suggesting Lazio's compact block and set-piece threat could dominate. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but Lazio's defensive solidity should limit Parma's chances.

  • Home momentum with recent wins
  • Superior attacking pressure against Parma's defense
  • Compact defensive setup to control the game tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LAZ 4-3-3 · PAR 3-5-2
Subs used · LAZ
57' Lazzari ↑ · Marusic
58' Cancellieri ↑ · Isaksen
58' Noslin ↑ · Pedro
65' Dia ↑ · Maldini
Subs used · PAR
71' Estevez ↑ · Nicolussi Caviglia
80' Ordonez ↑ · Bernabe
81' Oristanio ↑ · Strefezza
90+2' Sorensen ↑ · Keita
90+2' Carboni ↑ · Britschgi

📊 Statistics

LAZ 11 PAR
61%
Possession (%)
39%
0.40
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.44
7
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
1
5
Shots Inside Box
4
7
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
8
93%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
15'
E. Delprato
0–1
27'
Gabriel Strefezza
Yellow Card
32'
Mateo Pellegrino
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
M. Lazzari ↓ · A. Marusic ↑
Substitution 1
57'
M. Cancellieri ↓ · G. Isaksen ↑
Substitution 2
58'
T. Noslin ↓ · Pedro ↑
Substitution 3
58'
B. Dia ↓ · D. Maldini ↑
Substitution 4
65'
71'
N. Estevez ↓ · H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↑
Substitution 1
T. Noslin
Assist · K. Taylor · 1–1
77'
80'
C. Ordonez ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑
Substitution 2
81'
G. Oristanio ↓ · G. Strefezza ↑
Substitution 3
Tijjani Noslin
Yellow Card
87'
90+2'
O. Sorensen ↓ · M. Keita ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
F. Carboni ↓ · S. Britschgi ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.88 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.69 64% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
BTTS No 1.73 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.16 40% Cashed +1.16 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.38 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.03 40% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.00 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.21 86% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.45 62% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.32 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 83% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 87% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.65 25% Cashed +2.65 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.70 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.20 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.66 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.47u −15% ROI