P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Newcastle — Crystal Palace

Match Newcastle vs Crystal Palace January 4, 2026

Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 15:00
2:0
Full-time
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
L D L D L Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee John Brooks, England
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.73
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.86
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.78
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.88 – 0.70
Δ +1.18
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Newcastle holds a clear edge at St. James' Park, backed by stronger overall quality and a solid home defensive record that should challenge Crystal Palace's attack. The home side's recent form shows resilience, while Palace struggles to maintain consistency on the road. Expect a tactical battle where Newcastle's compact block and pressing edge could limit Palace's chances.

  • Home momentum with better recent points per game
  • Defensive solidity vs. away offensive threat
  • Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NEW 4-3-3 · CRY 3-4-2-1
Subs used · NEW
63' Barnes ↑ · Gordon
63' Livramento ↑ · Hall
63' Ramsey ↑ · Tonali
78' Woltemade ↑ · Wissa
88' Willock ↑ · Murphy
Subs used · CRY
38' Canvot ↑ · Lerma
52' Devenny ↑ · Clyne
72' Uche ↑ · Johnson
87' Esse ↑ · Pino
87' Rodney ↑ · Wharton
87' Drakes-Thomas ↑ · Mateta

📊 Statistics

NEW 20 CRY
59%
Possession (%)
41%
1.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.70
12
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
9
8
Corner Kicks
6
5
Offsides
2
5
Fouls
12
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

17 · 2 – 0
33'
Brennan Johnson
Yellow Card
38'
J. Canvot ↓ · J. Lerma ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
49'
Tyrick Mitchell
Yellow Card
52'
J. Devenny ↓ · N. Clyne ↑
Substitution 2
55'
Marc Guéhi
Yellow Card
Anthony Gordon
Yellow Card
62'
H. Barnes ↓ · A. Gordon ↑
Substitution 1
63'
V. Livramento ↓ · L. Hall ↑
Substitution 2
63'
J. Ramsey ↓ · S. Tonali ↑
Substitution 3
63'
Bruno Guimaraes
Assist · L. Miley · 1–0
71'
72'
C. Uche ↓ · B. Johnson ↑
Substitution 3
N. Woltemade ↓ · Y. Wissa ↑
Substitution 4
78'
M. Thiaw
2–0
78'
87'
R. Esse ↓ · Y. Pino ↑
Substitution 4
87'
K. Rodney ↓ · A. Wharton ↑
Substitution 5
87'
J. Drakes-Thomas ↓ · J. Mateta ↑
Substitution 6
J. Willock ↓ · J. Murphy ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.73 62% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.86 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.78 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 46% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 45% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.26 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.21 85% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 68% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.31 62% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 78% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.30 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.30 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.23 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.67 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.81u −28% ROI