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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A AS Roma — Lecce

Match AS Roma vs Lecce March 22, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.83
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 63% · book 1.62
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 37% · book 2.38
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.84 – 1.08
Δ −0.24
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.83 — +11.1% better than the market.

AS Roma holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite mixed recent form. Their strong defensive setup should limit Lecce’s attacking threat, who struggle away and face a tough challenge breaking down a compact block. Roma’s pressing edge and higher scoring potential suggest a controlled game with limited goals, aligning with the market’s lean towards under 2.5 goals.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
  • Roma’s home advantage and pressing intensity
  • Modest recent form but superior overall quality

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.83 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 55% +0.83u
+83%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · LEC 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ROM
46' Ghilardi ↑ · Mancini
51' Vaz ↑ · El Aynaoui
75' Arena ↑ · Malen
75' Angelino ↑ · Tsimikas
80' Venturino ↑ · Pellegrini
Subs used · LEC
61' Fofana ↑ · Gandelman
61' Cheddira ↑ · Stulic
67' Ndri ↑ · Banda
85' J. Helgason ↑ · Pierotti
86' Sala ↑ · Ramadani

📊 Statistics

ROM 10 LEC
67%
Possession (%)
33%
0.84
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.08
14
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
6
10
Corner Kicks
2
5
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
17
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
66%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
D. Ghilardi ↓ · G. Mancini ↑
Substitution 1
46'
R. Vaz ↓ · N. El Aynaoui ↑
Substitution 2
51'
R. Vaz
Assist · M. Hermoso · 1–0
57'
61'
S. Fofana ↓ · O. Gandelman ↑
Substitution 1
61'
W. Cheddira ↓ · N. Stulic ↑
Substitution 2
67'
K. Ndri ↓ · L. Banda ↑
Substitution 3
A. Arena ↓ · D. Malen ↑
Substitution 3
75'
Angelino ↓ · K. Tsimikas ↑
Substitution 4
75'
Angeliño
Yellow Card
77'
L. Venturino ↓ · L. Pellegrini ↑
Substitution 5
80'
81'
Santiago Pierotti
Yellow Card
85'
T. J. Helgason ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑
Substitution 4
86'
A. Sala ↓ · Y. Ramadani ↑
Substitution 5
Niccolò Pisilli
Yellow Card
89'
90'
Danilo Veiga
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.83 61% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS No 1.62 63% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.38 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.74 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.18 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.53 69% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 34% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.30 80% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.11 91% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.15 69% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 89% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 4.23 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.38 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.95 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 8.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.02 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.98u −23% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
ROM – LEC @ 1.83
+11.1%
Edge
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