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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Pisa — Cagliari

Match Pisa vs Cagliari March 15, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 14:00
3:1
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee F. La Penna
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.79
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 41% · book 2.75
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 41% · book 2.14
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.47 – 1.31
Δ +1.16
Possession
28% – 72%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.79 — +8.2% better than the market.

Cagliari enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a more robust defensive setup, which could stifle Pisa's attack. Despite Pisa's home ground advantage, their recent form shows struggles, while Cagliari's slightly better momentum suggests they might control the game's rhythm. Expect a tactical battle with Cagliari's disciplined defense and Pisa's need to break through a compact block.

  • Cagliari's defensive solidity limits Pisa's offensive threat.
  • Pisa's poor recent form undermines home momentum.
  • Match likely to feature cautious play and fewer goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.79 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 56% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PIS 3-4-3 · CAG 4-4-2
Subs used · PIS
16' Hojholt ↑ · Marin
46' Albiol ↑ · Calabresi
72' Akinsanmiro ↑ · Tramoni
90' Toure ↑ · Leris
Subs used · CAG
46' Zappa ↑ · Mina
46' Pavoletti ↑ · Adopo
64' Mazzitelli ↑ · Gaetano
64' Trepy ↑ · Kilicsoy
76' Albarracin ↑ · Pedro

📊 Statistics

PIS 31 CAG
28%
Possession (%)
72%
2.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.31
10
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
9
1
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
16
69%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

20 · 3 – 1
S. Moreo (P)
Penalty · 1–0
9'
M. Hojholt ↓ · M. Marin ↑
Substitution 1
16'
Rafiu Durosinmi
Red Card
37'
Half-time · 1 – 0
R. Albiol ↓ · A. Calabresi ↑
Substitution 2
46'
46'
G. Zappa ↓ · Y. Mina ↑
Substitution 1
46'
L. Pavoletti ↓ · M. Adopo ↑
Substitution 2
47'
Zé Pedro
Yellow Card
A. Caracciolo
2–0
52'
A. Caracciolo
Assist · R. Albiol · 3–0
54'
59'
Adam Obert
Yellow Card
Michel Aebischer
Yellow Card
61'
64'
L. Mazzitelli ↓ · G. Gaetano ↑
Substitution 3
64'
Y. Trepy ↓ · S. Kilicsoy ↑
Substitution 4
67'
L. Pavoletti
Assist · A. Dossena · 3–1
E. Akinsanmiro ↓ · M. Tramoni ↑
Substitution 3
72'
76'
A. Albarracin ↓ · J. Pedro ↑
Substitution 5
78'
Alberto Dossena
Yellow Card
81'
Adam Obert
Yellow Card
81'
Adam Obert
Red Card
I. Toure ↓ · M. Leris ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.79 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.75 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.14 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.63 32% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.10 40% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Home Win 2.67 30% Cashed +1.67 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.82 30% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.54 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.15 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.58 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.41 59% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.09 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.52 59% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.20 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.12 86% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.00 15% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +1.27u +7% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
PIS – CAG @ 1.79
+8.2%
Edge
Forecast →