P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Napoli — Lecce

Match Napoli vs Lecce March 14, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 17:00
2:1
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Rosario Abisso, Italy
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.76 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 37% · book 2.24 ✓
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 37% · book 3.10 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.30 – 0.76
Δ +0.54
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.76 — +10.9% better than the market.

Napoli enters this clash with clear quality and home momentum, boasting a strong defensive record and a potent attack that outmatches Lecce's defensive setup. The home side's recent form shows consistency, while Lecce's patchy results hint at vulnerabilities. Napoli’s pressing edge and tactical discipline should control the tempo, likely limiting Lecce’s chances.

  • Napoli’s superior defensive solidity versus Lecce’s attack
  • Home momentum and tactical control
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.76 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NAP 3-4-2-1 · LEC 4-2-3-1
NAP · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · LEC 1 Meret 31 Beukema 4 Buongiorno 17 Olivera 21 Politano ⚽ 99 Anguissa 6 Gilmour 37 Spinazzola 20 Elmas 27 Santos 19 Højlund ⚽ 30 Falcone 17 Veiga 5 Siebert ⚽ 44 Gabriel 25 Gallo 20 Ramadani 79 Ngom 50 Pierotti 29 Coulibaly 19 Banda 9 Štulić
Subs used · NAP
46' De Bruyne ↑ · Anguissa ↓
46' McTominay ↑ · Elmas ↓
72' Mazzocchi ↑ · Spinazzola ↓
72' Gutierrez ↑ · Politano ↓
85' Giovane ↑ · Santos ↓
Subs used · LEC
46' Gandelman ↑ · Coulibaly ↓
59' Cheddira ↑ · Stulic ↓
79' Ndaba ↑ · Gallo ↓
79' Ndri ↑ · Pierotti ↓
85' Fofana ↑ · Ngom ↓

📊 Statistics

NAP 2 – 1 LEC
70%
Possession (%)
30%
1.30
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.76
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
7
11
Fouls
7
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 1
3'
⚽
J. Siebert
Assist · A. Gallo · 0–1
19'
▮
Jamil Siebert
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
K. De Bruyne ↓ · F. Anguissa ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
S. McTominay ↓ · E. Elmas ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
46'
⇄
O. Gandelman ↓ · L. Coulibaly ↑
Substitution 1
R. Hojlund
Assist · M. Politano · 1–1
⚽
46'
59'
⇄
W. Cheddira ↓ · N. Stulic ↑
Substitution 2
M. Politano
2–1
⚽
67'
P. Mazzocchi ↓ · L. Spinazzola ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
M. Gutierrez ↓ · M. Politano ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
79'
⇄
C. Ndaba ↓ · A. Gallo ↑
Substitution 3
79'
⇄
K. Ndri ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑
Substitution 4
Giovane ↓ · Alisson Santos ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
S. Fofana ↓ · O. Ngom ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.76 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.24 — 37% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.10 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.39 — 74% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.08 — 93% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
BTTS No 1.48 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.82 — 33% Cashed +1.82 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 — 63% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.10 — 74% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.26 — 82% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Draw 5.01 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 87% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.45 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.25 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 11.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.95 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.63u −27% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
NAP – LEC @ 1.76
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →