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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Inter — Genoa

Match Inter vs Genoa February 28, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 19:45
2:0
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Michael Fabbri, Italy
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.78
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 52% · book 2.26
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 38% · book 2.20
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.54 – 0.21
Δ +1.33
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.78 — +10.5% better than the market.

Inter hosts Genoa with a clear quality edge and home momentum after recent wins. Their potent attack faces a Genoa defense that has struggled, suggesting Inter’s pressing and set-piece threat could dominate. Genoa’s patchy form and lower offensive output may leave them exposed in this high-tempo clash, where goals seem likely given the attacking mismatch and Inter’s home confidence.

  • Inter’s strong home edge and attacking firepower
  • Genoa’s defensive vulnerabilities against top opponents
  • Recent form favors Inter’s momentum and goal threat

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.78 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 56% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · GEN 3-4-2-1
Subs used · INT
59' Calhanoglu ↑ · Mkhitaryan
59' Esposito ↑ · Thuram
66' Bisseck ↑ · de Vrij
76' Frattesi ↑ · Zielinski
76' Diouf ↑ · Bonny
Subs used · GEN
46' Amorim ↑ · Malinovskyi
60' Ekuban ↑ · Vitinha
66' Messias ↑ · Baldanzi
66' Ekhator ↑ · Colombo
85' Sabelli ↑ · Martin

📊 Statistics

INT 20 GEN
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.54
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.21
14
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
3
12
Shots Inside Box
3
10
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
8
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

15 · 2 – 0
9'
Ruslan Malinovskyi
Yellow Card
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
Yellow Card
21'
F. Dimarco
Assist · H. Mkhitaryan · 1–0
31'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
Amorim ↓ · R. Malinovskyi ↑
Substitution 1
H. Calhanoglu ↓ · H. Mkhitaryan ↑
Substitution 1
59'
F. Esposito ↓ · M. Thuram ↑
Substitution 2
59'
60'
C. Ekuban ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 2
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Yellow Card
65'
Y. Bisseck ↓ · S. de Vrij ↑
Substitution 3
66'
66'
Junior Messias ↓ · T. Baldanzi ↑
Substitution 3
66'
J. Ekhator ↓ · L. Colombo ↑
Substitution 4
H. Calhanoglu (P)
Penalty · 2–0
70'
D. Frattesi ↓ · P. Zielinski ↑
Substitution 4
76'
A. Diouf ↓ · A. Bonny ↑
Substitution 5
76'
85'
S. Sabelli ↓ · A. Martin ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.78 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.26 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.20 38% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS No 1.70 48% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.36 75% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.07 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.47 59% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.10 75% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 82% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Draw 5.52 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 95% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.68 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.40 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 11.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.80 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.81u −34% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
INT – GEN @ 1.78
+10.5%
Edge
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