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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Sassuolo — Atalanta

Match Sassuolo vs Atalanta March 1, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Referee Matteo Marchetti, Italy
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 57% · book 2.02
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.06
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.18
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.52 – 2.98
Δ −1.46
Possession
24% – 76%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.06 — +10.5% better than the market.

Atalanta enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, suggesting they can challenge Sassuolo’s compact defense effectively. Sassuolo’s home momentum is notable, but Atalanta’s sharper attack and slightly better recent form hint at a competitive, possibly tight encounter. Expect a balanced pace with tactical discipline from both sides.

  • Atalanta’s offensive pressure vs Sassuolo’s defense
  • Home side’s recent winning streak
  • Moderate tempo likely to favor structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.06 ✗ Lost
AI 54% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · ATA 3-4-2-1
Subs used · SAS
73' Nzola ↑ · Berardi
73' Lipani ↑ · Matic
74' Fadera ↑ · Lauriente
79' Iannoni
89' Doig ↑ · Kone
Subs used · ATA
46' Sulemana ↑ · Bernasconi
46' Zappacosta ↑ · Bellanova
46' Krstovic ↑ · Scamacca
67' Musah ↑ · Zalewski
76' Hien ↑ · Djimsiti

📊 Statistics

SAS 21 ATA
24%
Possession (%)
76%
1.52
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.98
7
Total Shots
26
5
Shots on Target
7
1
Shots off Target
11
6
Shots Inside Box
20
3
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
4
3
Fouls
13
69%
Pass Accuracy (%)
92%
2
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

18 · 2 – 1
Jay Idzes
Yellow Card
12'
Andrea Pinamonti
Red Card
16'
21'
Lorenzo Bernasconi
Yellow Card
I. Kone
Assist · A. Lauriente · 1–0
23'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
K. Sulemana ↓ · L. Bernasconi ↑
Substitution 1
46'
D. Zappacosta ↓ · R. Bellanova ↑
Substitution 2
46'
N. Krstovic ↓ · G. Scamacca ↑
Substitution 3
Nemanja Matić
Yellow Card
57'
58'
Nicola Zalewski
Yellow Card
67'
Y. Musah ↓ · N. Zalewski ↑
Substitution 4
K. Thorstvedt
Assist · A. Lauriente · 2–0
69'
M. Nzola ↓ · D. Berardi ↑
Substitution 1
73'
L. Lipani ↓ · N. Matic ↑
Substitution 2
73'
A. Fadera ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑
Substitution 3
74'
76'
I. Hien ↓ · B. Djimsiti ↑
Substitution 5
E. Iannoni ↓ ·
Substitution 4
79'
88'
Y. Musah
Assist · D. Zappacosta · 2–1
J. Doig ↓ · I. Kone ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.02 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.06 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.18 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.93 46% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 51% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.90 43% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 74% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.10 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.29 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.44 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.20 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.30 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 72% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Draw 3.75 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.95 18% Cashed +1.95 Cashed
Home Win 4.01 18% Cashed +3.01 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.71u −4% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
SAS – ATA @ 2.06
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →