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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Parma

Match AC Milan vs Parma February 22, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 17:00
0:1
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Marco Piccinini, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.08 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 42% · book 2.29 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.68 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.33 – 0.46
Δ +0.87
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AC Milan enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record that should challenge Parma's modest attack. The Rossoneri's pressing edge and superior quality gap suggest control, while Parma's recent mixed form hints at struggles to break down a compact block. Expect a measured tempo with chances mainly favoring the hosts.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive limitations
  • Strong home form against Parma's inconsistent results
  • Moderate pace likely, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MIL 3-5-2 · PAR 3-5-2
MIL · 3-5-2 3-5-2 · PAR 16 Maignan 23 Tomori 5 Winter 33 Bartesaghi 56 Saelemaekers 8 Loftus-Cheek 14 Modrić 12 Rabiot 2 Estupiñán 10 Leão 11 Pulišić 40 Corvi 15 Prato 37 Troilo ⚽ 5 Valenti 27 Britschgi 10 Bernabé 16 Keita 24 Ordoñez 14 Valeri 9 Pellegrino 7 Strefezza
Subs used · MIL
11' Jashari ↑ · Loftus-Cheek ↓
62' Fullkrug ↑ · Pulisic ↓
62' Pavlovic ↑ · Estupinan ↓
86' Nkunku ↑
86' Athekame ↑ · Tomori ↓
Subs used · PAR
59' Sorensen ↑ · Ordonez ↓
59' Nicolussi Caviglia ↑ · Bernabe ↓
76' Ondrejka ↑ · Strefezza ↓
90+3' Estevez ↑ · Pellegrino ↓

📊 Statistics

MIL 0 – 1 PAR
67%
Possession (%)
33%
1.33
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.46
25
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
10
Shots off Target
3
17
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
10
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 1
A. Jashari ↓ · R. Loftus-Cheek ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
11'
Alexis Saelemaekers
Yellow Card
▮
32'
Half-time · 0 – 0
48'
▮
Mariano Troilo
Yellow Card
Rafael Leão
Yellow Card
▮
52'
59'
⇄
O. Sorensen ↓ · C. Ordonez ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
H. Nicolussi Caviglia ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑
Substitution 2
N. Fullkrug ↓ · C. Pulisic ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
S. Pavlovic ↓ · P. Estupinan ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
62'
76'
⇄
J. Ondrejka ↓ · G. Strefezza ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⚽
M. Troilo
Assist · E. Valeri · 0–1
C. Nkunku ↓ ·
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
Z. Athekame ↓ · F. Tomori ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
90+3'
⇄
N. Estevez ↓ · M. Pellegrino ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.08 — 50% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.29 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.68 — 58% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.87 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.36 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.08 — 94% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 — 71% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.10 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.10 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.10 — 25% Cashed +3.10 Cashed
Draw 5.51 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.30 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.68 — 25% Cashed +2.68 Cashed
Away Win 11.50 — 6% Cashed +10.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 7.00 — 6% Cashed +6.00 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +15.49u +91% ROI