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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Como — Fiorentina

Match Como vs Fiorentina February 14, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Como
Como
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 14:00
1:2
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como Referee M. Marchetti
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 61% · book 1.80
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.88
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.80
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.84 – 1.53
Δ −0.69
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Como arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing solid recent form and a strong defensive setup that challenges Fiorentina's attack. The home side's pressing and compact block could frustrate the visitors, who have struggled to convert chances consistently. Expect a tactical battle with Como leveraging their home advantage and Fiorentina needing to break down a resilient defense.

  • Como's defensive solidity vs Fiorentina's moderate offense
  • Home form and crowd support boosting Como's confidence
  • Moderate pace suggested by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

COM 4-2-3-1 · FIO 4-3-3
Subs used · COM
46' Rodriguez ↑ · Kuhn
46' Moreno ↑ · Valle
57' Morata ↑ · Douvikas
57' Addai ↑ · Perrone
72' Caqueret ↑ · Vojvoda
Subs used · FIO
84' Ndour ↑ · Fagioli
84' Piccoli ↑ · Kean

📊 Statistics

COM 12 FIO
67%
Possession (%)
33%
0.84
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.53
16
Total Shots
7
3
Shots on Target
3
10
Shots off Target
2
12
Shots Inside Box
4
4
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
9
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
4
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 1 – 2
26'
N. Fagioli
0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
J. Rodriguez ↓ · N. Kuhn ↑
Substitution 1
46'
A. Moreno ↓ · A. Valle ↑
Substitution 2
46'
Marc-Oliver Kempf
Yellow Card
49'
54'
M. Kean (P)
Penalty · 0–2
A. Morata ↓ · A. Douvikas ↑
Substitution 3
57'
J. Addai ↓ · M. Perrone ↑
Substitution 4
57'
M. Caqueret ↓ · M. Vojvoda ↑
Substitution 5
72'
F. Parisi
Own goal · 1–2
77'
Jesús Rodriguez
Yellow Card
82'
84'
C. Ndour ↓ · N. Fagioli ↑
Substitution 1
84'
R. Piccoli ↓ · M. Kean ↑
Substitution 2
Álvaro Morata
Yellow Card
88'
88'
Rolando Mandragora
Yellow Card
Álvaro Morata
Yellow Card
89'
Álvaro Morata
Red Card
89'
89'
Luca Ranieri
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.80 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.88 56% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 55% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS No 2.08 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.07 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.14 39% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.15 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 66% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.32 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.27 78% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.98 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.20 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.80 15% Cashed +3.80 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.55 15% Cashed +2.55 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.90u +5% ROI