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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Chelsea — Bournemouth

Match Chelsea vs Bournemouth December 30, 2025

England   /   Premier League
Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Tue 30 Dec · 19:30
2:2
Full-time
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
D W W D D Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Samuel Barrott, England
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 66% · book 1.62 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 61% · book 1.66 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 2.43 ✓
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.09 – 2.81
Δ −0.72
Possession
67% – 33%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Chelsea hold a clear quality edge at Stamford Bridge, backed by a stronger defensive record and a slight home momentum from recent mixed results. Their offensive edge against Bournemouth's defense suggests they can create chances, though Bournemouth's resilience and compact block may limit scoring opportunities. The pace hints at a moderately open game with a decent goal environment, supported by balanced xG figures.

  • Home advantage with a pressing edge in defense
  • Moderate form gap favoring Chelsea
  • Potential for goals but a controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

CHE 4-2-3-1 · BOU 4-2-3-1
CHE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BOU 1 Sánchez 34 Acheampong 29 Fofana 23 Chalobah 27 Gusto 25 Caicedo 8 Fernández ⚽ 41 Estêvão 10 Palmer ⚽ 49 Garnacho 9 Delap 1 Petrović 20 Jiménez 23 Hill 5 Senesi 3 Truffert 16 Tavernier 8 Scott 7 Brooks ⚽ 19 Kluivert ⚽ 24 Semenyo 9 Evanilson
Subs used · CHE
46' James ↑ · Acheampong ↓
46' Neto ↑ · Garnacho ↓
63' Pedro ↑ · Palmer ↓
87' Santos ↑ · Delap ↓
90+3' Gittens ↑ · Estêvão ↓
Subs used · BOU
78' Adli ↑ · Brooks ↓
82' Unal ↑ · Evanilson ↓
90+3' Smith ↑ · Kluivert ↓

📊 Statistics

CHE 2 – 2 BOU
67%
Possession (%)
33%
2.09
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.81
17
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
7
15
Shots Inside Box
12
12
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
1
5
Fouls
12
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 2
Moisés Caicedo
Yellow Card
▮
4'
6'
⚽
D. Brooks
0–1
C. Palmer (P)
Penalty · 1–1
⚽
15'
E. Fernandez
Assist · A. Garnacho · 2–1
⚽
23'
27'
⚽
J. Kluivert
2–2
Half-time · 2 – 2
R. James ↓ · J. Acheampong ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
P. Neto ↓ · A. Garnacho ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
Joao Pedro ↓ · C. Palmer ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
63'
78'
⇄
A. Adli ↓ · D. Brooks ↑
Substitution 1
82'
⇄
E. Unal ↓ · Evanilson ↑
Substitution 2
84'
▮
Marcus Tavernier
Yellow Card
Andrey Santos ↓ · L. Delap ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
J. Gittens ↓ · Estêvão ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+3'
90+3'
⇄
A. Smith ↓ · J. Kluivert ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 2 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.62 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.66 — 61% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.43 — 41% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.66 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.55 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.48 — 34% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.17 — 88% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 — 63% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.23 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.18 — 83% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Draw 4.40 — 22% Cashed +3.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.50 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.10 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.53 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.07u −6% ROI