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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Genoa — Napoli

Match Genoa vs Napoli February 7, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sat 07 Feb · 17:00
2:3
Full-time
Napoli
Napoli
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Genoa Referee Davide Massa, Italy
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 57% · book 2.00
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.65
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 2.30
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
1.32 – 2.30
Δ −0.98
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Napoli arrives with a clear quality edge and a stronger overall profile, despite mixed recent form. Genoa's home momentum and slightly better recent points per game suggest they won't be easy to break down. Napoli's attacking threat faces a tough Genoa defense, hinting at a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

  • Napoli's offensive edge contrasts with Genoa's solid defensive setup.
  • Home side's recent form shows resilience and potential to disrupt.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a compact, strategic game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

GEN 3-5-2 · NAP 3-4-2-1
Subs used · GEN
64' Ekuban ↑ · Colombo
74' Messias ↑ · Martin
74' Masini ↑ · Malinovskyi
89' Cornet ↑ · Vitinha
Subs used · NAP
46' Giovane ↑ · McTominay
59' Beukema ↑ · Buongiorno
77' Olivera

📊 Statistics

GEN 23 NAP
40%
Possession (%)
60%
1.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.30
12
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots off Target
7
6
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
12
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

19 · 2 – 3
2'
Alex Meret
Yellow Card
R. Malinovskyi (P)
Penalty · 1–0
3'
20'
R. Hojlund
1–1
22'
S. McTominay
Assist · A. Rrahmani · 1–2
Half-time · 1 – 2
46'
Giovane ↓ · S. McTominay ↑
Substitution 1
Johan Vásquez
Yellow Card
50'
L. Colombo
2–2
57'
59'
Juan Jesus
Yellow Card
59'
S. Beukema ↓ · A. Buongiorno ↑
Substitution 2
C. Ekuban ↓ · L. Colombo ↑
Substitution 1
64'
Junior Messias ↓ · A. Martin ↑
Substitution 2
74'
P. Masini ↓ · R. Malinovskyi ↑
Substitution 3
74'
76'
Juan Jesus
Yellow Card
76'
Juan Jesus
Red Card
77'
M. Olivera ↓ ·
Substitution 3
Alessandro Marcandalli
Yellow Card
82'
M. Cornet ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 4
89'
90'
R. Hojlund (P)
Penalty · 2–3
90+2'
Leonardo Spinazzola
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.00 57% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.65 41% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.30 45% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
BTTS No 1.69 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.64 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.90 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.40 21% Cashed +4.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.23 84% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.53 67% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.58 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.12 89% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.19 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.32 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 7.50 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.39 57% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Home Win 4.66 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.25 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.62u +4% ROI