P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Como

Match AC Milan vs Como February 18, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Wed 18 Feb · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Como
Como
W D W W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 2.35 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.03 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.81 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.76 – 1.45
Δ −0.69
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.03 — +9.0% better than the market.

AC Milan arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Como. Their attacking prowess faces a tough defensive line, but Milan’s home comfort and pressing edge should create chances. Como’s form is patchy, and their defensive resilience will be tested at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

  • Milan’s home advantage and sharper form suggest control in midfield.
  • Como’s defense may struggle against Milan’s dynamic offense.
  • Moderate pace expected, with potential for multiple goals given both sides’ attacking traits.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 2.03 ✗ Lost
AI 54% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MIL 3-5-2 · COM 3-4-2-1
MIL · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · COM 16 Maignan 23 Tomori 5 Winter 31 Pavlović 24 Athekame 4 Ricci 14 Modrić 30 Jashari 33 Bartesaghi 10 Leão ⚽ 18 Nkunku 1 Butez 14 Ramón 34 Carlos 2 Kempf 77 Brempt 8 Roberto 23 Perrone 31 Vojvoda 6 Caqueret 20 Baturina 10 Paz ⚽
Subs used · MIL
46' Gabbia ↑ · Pavlovic ↓
55' Fofana ↑ · Ricci ↓
56' Saelemaekers ↑ · Athekame ↓
62' Fullkrug ↑ · Nkunku ↓
82' Pulisic ↑ · Leao ↓
Subs used · COM
71' Valle ↑ · Van der Brempt ↓
71' Douvikas ↑ · Paz ↓
78' Rodriguez ↑ · Caqueret ↓
78' Da Cunha ↑ · Roberto ↓
90' Smolcic ↑ · Vojvoda ↓

📊 Statistics

MIL 1 – 1 COM
54%
Possession (%)
46%
0.76
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.45
6
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
3
5
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Corner Kicks
4
5
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
12
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 1
32'
⚽
N. Paz
0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
M. Gabbia ↓ · S. Pavlovic ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
53'
▮
Nico Paz
Yellow Card
Y. Fofana ↓ · S. Ricci ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
55'
A. Saelemaekers ↓ · Z. Athekame ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
56'
N. Fullkrug ↓ · C. Nkunku ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
62'
63'
▮
Jean Butez
Yellow Card
R. Leao
Assist · A. Jashari · 1–1
⚽
64'
Rafael Leão
Yellow Card
▮
68'
68'
▮
Sergi Roberto
Yellow Card
71'
⇄
A. Valle ↓ · I. Van der Brempt ↑
Substitution 1
71'
⇄
A. Douvikas ↓ · N. Paz ↑
Substitution 2
78'
⇄
J. Rodriguez ↓ · M. Caqueret ↑
Substitution 3
78'
⇄
L. Da Cunha ↓ · S. Roberto ↑
Substitution 4
C. Pulisic ↓ · R. Leao ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
Alexis Saelemaekers
Yellow Card
▮
87'
90'
⇄
I. Smolcic ↓ · M. Vojvoda ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.35 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.03 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.81 — 56% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS No 2.18 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.92 — 46% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.65 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.66 — 49% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.35 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.38 — 78% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.56 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.33 — 77% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.46 — 27% Cashed +2.46 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.35 — 68% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.35 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.02u −18% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
MIL – COM @ 2.03
+9.0%
Edge
Forecast →