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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Pisa — Sassuolo

Match Pisa vs Sassuolo January 31, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 14:00
1:3
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee A. Arena
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.93
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.66
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.71
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
0.79 – 1.64
Δ −0.85
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.93 — +8.1% better than the market.

Sassuolo enter this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Pisa's defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but Sassuolo's sharper attack against a less robust defense hints at scoring opportunities. The moderate pace implied by odds points to a controlled game where Sassuolo's pressing and tactical discipline might unlock the home side's compact block.

  • Quality gap favors Sassuolo
  • Pisa's home defense vs Sassuolo's offense
  • Balanced tempo suggests tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.93 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PIS 3-4-2-1 · SAS 4-3-3
Subs used · PIS
46' Leris ↑ · Canestrelli
46' Durosinmi ↑ · Marin
46' Loyola ↑ · Meister
70' Stojilkovic ↑ · Moreo
85' Stengs ↑ · Angori
Subs used · SAS
73' Fadera ↑ · Lauriente
73' Moro ↑ · Pinamonti
73' Lipani ↑ · Kone
84' Volpato ↑ · Berardi

📊 Statistics

PIS 13 SAS
54%
Possession (%)
46%
0.79
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.64
15
Total Shots
21
6
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
10
9
Shots Inside Box
18
2
Corner Kicks
5
4
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
8
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 1 – 3
23'
Kristian Thorstvedt
Yellow Card
25'
D. Berardi
Assist · K. Thorstvedt · 0–1
42'
Ismael Koné
Yellow Card
45'
A. Caracciolo
Own goal · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
M. Leris ↓ · S. Canestrelli ↑
Substitution 1
46'
R. Durosinmi ↓ · M. Marin ↑
Substitution 2
46'
F. Loyola ↓ · H. Meister ↑
Substitution 3
46'
M. Aebischer
Assist · R. Durosinmi · 1–2
51'
58'
I. Kone
Assist · N. Matic · 1–3
Rosen Bozhinov
Yellow Card
62'
Matteo Tramoni
Yellow Card
64'
F. Stojilkovic ↓ · S. Moreo ↑
Substitution 4
70'
73'
A. Fadera ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑
Substitution 1
73'
L. Moro ↓ · A. Pinamonti ↑
Substitution 2
73'
L. Lipani ↓ · I. Kone ↑
Substitution 3
Idrissa Touré
Yellow Card
75'
79'
Luca Moro
Yellow Card
84'
C. Volpato ↓ · D. Berardi ↑
Substitution 4
C. Stengs ↓ · S. Angori ↑
Substitution 5
85'
Full-time · 1 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.93 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.66 47% Cashed +1.66 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.71 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.33 37% Cashed +1.33 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.84 47% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.92 44% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.13 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.01 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.42 75% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Draw 3.20 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 63% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.55 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.10 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.26 82% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 87% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.20 18% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.12u −1% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
PIS – SAS @ 1.93
+8.1%
Edge
Forecast →