Match Fiorentina vs Cagliari January 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Fiorentina hold a slight quality edge and benefit from a moderate home advantage, suggesting a controlled tempo at their stadium. Their offensive strength faces a tough Cagliari defense, hinting at a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Recent form favors Cagliari slightly, but Fiorentina's home momentum and defensive solidity could keep the match tight.

Home edge in defense may stifle away attacks
Cagliari's pressing could challenge Fiorentina's buildup
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

FIO 4-3-3 · CAG 3-5-1-1

FIO · 4-3-3 3-5-1-1 · CAG

10 Guðmundsson

Subs used · FIO

46'

Fabbian ↑ ·

Mandragora ↓

59'

Brescianini ↑ ·

Gosens ↓

59'

Harrison ↑ ·

Ndour ↓

83'

Fortini ↑ ·

Solomon ↓

Subs used · CAG

64'

Sulemana ↑ ·

Esposito ↓

71'

Borrelli ↑ ·

Kilicsoy ↓

80'

Idrissi ↑ ·

Obert ↓

80'

Prati ↑ ·

Mazzitelli ↓

80'

Zappa ↑ ·

Palestra ↓

📊 Statistics

FIO 1 – 2 CAG

70%

Possession (%)

30%

2.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.08

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 2

31'

⚽

S. Kilicsoy

Assist · M. Palestra · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

G. Fabbian ↓ · R. Mandragora ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

47'

⚽

M. Palestra

Assist · S. Esposito · 0–2

Marin Pongračić

Yellow Card

▮

56'

M. Brescianini ↓ · R. Gosens ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

J. Harrison ↓ · C. Ndour ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

59'

63'

▮

Elia Caprile

Yellow Card

64'

⇄

I. Sulemana ↓ · S. Esposito ↑

Substitution 1

71'

⇄

G. Borrelli ↓ · S. Kilicsoy ↑

Substitution 2

M. Brescianini

Assist · Dodo · 1–2

⚽

74'

80'

⇄

R. Idrissi ↓ · A. Obert ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

M. Prati ↓ · L. Mazzitelli ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

G. Zappa ↓ · M. Palestra ↑

Substitution 5

N. Fortini ↓ · M. Solomon ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

85'

▮

Yerry Mina

Yellow Card

87'

▮

Zé Pedro

Yellow Card

Pietro Comuzzo

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 1 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.69	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.92	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.85	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.03	—	48%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.02	—	48%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.36	—	40%	Cashed	+1.36	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.25	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.00	—	17%	Cashed	+5.00	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.33	—	74%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.50	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	72%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.03	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.31	—	17%	Cashed	+3.31	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.45u	+20% ROI