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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Pisa — Atalanta

Match Pisa vs Atalanta January 16, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 16 Jan · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee Matteo Marchetti, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.94
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 65% · book 1.68
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.91
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.19 – 1.15
Δ +0.04
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.94 — +11.6% better than the market.

Serie A Clash at Arena Garibaldi

Pisa faces a tough challenge against Atalanta, who hold a clear quality edge and better recent form. The home side’s defensive solidity may be tested by Atalanta’s sharper attack, while Pisa’s home momentum is limited by inconsistent results. Expect a controlled pace with tactical discipline as Atalanta looks to capitalize on their offensive advantage and maintain pressure.

  • Atalanta’s attacking threat vs Pisa’s defense
  • Home side’s recent mixed form
  • Moderate tempo likely with tactical focus

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ✓ Cashed
AI 58% Implied 52% +0.94u
+94%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PIS 3-4-2-1 · ATA 3-4-2-1
Subs used · PIS
68' Leris ↑ · Marin
68' Durosinmi ↑ · Meister
68' Piccinini ↑ · Tramoni
90+1' Bozhinov ↑ · Calabresi
Subs used · ATA
56' Ederson ↑ · Pasalic
56' Raspadori ↑ · Scamacca
56' Zappacosta ↑ · Musah
70' Krstovic ↑ · Scalvini
82' Sulemana ↑ · Zalewski

📊 Statistics

PIS 11 ATA
43%
Possession (%)
57%
1.19
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.15
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
3
13
Shots Inside Box
8
10
Corner Kicks
1
12
Fouls
12
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
40'
Mario Pašalić
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
56'
Ederson ↓ · M. Pasalic ↑
Substitution 1
56'
G. Raspadori ↓ · G. Scamacca ↑
Substitution 2
56'
D. Zappacosta ↓ · Y. Musah ↑
Substitution 3
66'
Giorgio Scalvini
Yellow Card
M. Leris ↓ · M. Marin ↑
Substitution 1
68'
R. Durosinmi ↓ · H. Meister ↑
Substitution 2
68'
G. Piccinini ↓ · M. Tramoni ↑
Substitution 3
68'
70'
N. Krstovic ↓ · G. Scalvini ↑
Substitution 4
Francesco Coppola
Yellow Card
81'
82'
K. Sulemana ↓ · N. Zalewski ↑
Substitution 5
83'
N. Krstovic
0–1
R. Durosinmi
Assist · M. Leris · 1–1
87'
R. Bozhinov ↓ · A. Calabresi ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.94 58% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
Away Win 1.68 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.97 45% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.01 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.34 35% Cashed +1.34 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.53 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 78% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.17 88% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.23 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 4.05 23% Cashed +3.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.31 68% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.55 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 6.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.26 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.81u −11% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
PIS – ATA @ 1.94
+11.6%
Edge
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