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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Bologna — Fiorentina

Match Bologna vs Fiorentina January 18, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Bologna
Bologna
Home · last 5 L D W W D
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 14:00
1:2
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara · Bologna Referee Daniele Doveri, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 52% · book 2.27 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.07 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.92 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.27 – 1.64
Δ −0.37
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bologna Looks to Leverage Home Strength

Bologna holds a clear quality edge and a notable home advantage, suggesting they can impose their game at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Their offensive edge against Fiorentina's defense and recent home momentum could pressure Fiorentina's compact block. Fiorentina's resilience and slightly better recent form hint at a balanced contest, but Bologna's pressing edge and set-piece threat may tilt the scales.

  • Bologna's home form and offensive edge
  • Fiorentina's defensive resilience
  • Moderate pace expected with balanced goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BOL 4-2-3-1 · FIO 4-3-3
BOL · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · FIO 13 Ravaglia 2 Holm 16 Casale 14 Heggem 33 Miranda 4 Pobega 8 Freuler 7 Orsolini 21 Odgaard 28 Cambiaghi 9 Castro 43 Gea 2 Dodô 15 Comuzzo 5 Pongračić 21 Gosens 8 Mandragora ⚽ 44 Fagioli 27 Ndour 65 Parisi 91 Piccoli ⚽ 10 Guðmundsson
Subs used · BOL
46' Moro ↑ · Freuler ↓
46' Rowe ↑ · Orsolini ↓
46' Zortea ↑ · Holm ↓
46' Fabbian ↑ · Odgaard ↓
72' Ferguson ↑ · Pobega ↓
Subs used · FIO
72' Brescianini ↑ · Mandragora ↓
72' Sohm ↑ · Ndour ↓
72' Solomon ↑ · Gudmundsson ↓
80' Fortini ↑ · Parisi ↓
90+4' Ranieri ↑ · Fagioli ↓

📊 Statistics

BOL 1 – 2 FIO
61%
Possession (%)
39%
1.27
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.64
17
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
9
7
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
13
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
3
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 2
19'
⚽
R. Mandragora
Assist · A. Gudmundsson · 0–1
Emil Holm
Yellow Card
▮
38'
45'
⚽
R. Piccoli
0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
N. Moro ↓ · R. Freuler ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
J. Rowe ↓ · R. Orsolini ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
N. Zortea ↓ · E. Holm ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
46'
G. Fabbian ↓ · J. Odgaard ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
46'
L. Ferguson ↓ · T. Pobega ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
72'
72'
⇄
M. Brescianini ↓ · R. Mandragora ↑
Substitution 1
72'
⇄
S. Sohm ↓ · C. Ndour ↑
Substitution 2
72'
⇄
M. Solomon ↓ · A. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 3
Juan Miranda
Yellow Card
▮
77'
80'
⇄
N. Fortini ↓ · F. Parisi ↑
Substitution 4
G. Fabbian
Assist · J. Rowe · 1–2
⚽
88'
Lewis Ferguson
Yellow Card
▮
90'
90+4'
⇄
L. Ranieri ↓ · N. Fagioli ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.27 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.07 — 49% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.92 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.07 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.82 — 53% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.60 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.72 — 48% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.48 — 21% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.35 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 92% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 — 74% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.34 — 73% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.54 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.46 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.55 — 21% Cashed +2.55 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.62u −10% ROI