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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A AC Milan — Lecce

Match AC Milan vs Lecce January 18, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 18 Jan · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.00
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 36% · book 2.64
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 47% · book 1.94
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
2.61 – 0.16
Δ +2.45
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AC Milan enter this clash with strong home momentum and a clear quality edge over Lecce. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled recently, while Milan's solid defensive shape should limit Lecce’s chances. The match hints at a controlled tempo with under 2.5 goals likely, given Milan's compact block and Lecce's low scoring form.

  • Home side’s pressing edge and set-piece threat
  • Lecce’s defensive vulnerabilities against high-quality offense
  • Recent form favors Milan’s consistency and control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MIL 3-5-2 · LEC 4-3-3
Subs used · MIL
72' Fullkrug ↑ · Pulisic
73' Loftus-Cheek ↑ · Ricci
80' Athekame ↑ · Saelemaekers
87' Modric ↑ · Jashari
87' Nkunku ↑ · Leao
Subs used · LEC
54' Banda ↑ · Sottil
68' Morente ↑ · Stulic
84' Ndri ↑ · Gallo
85' Maleh ↑ · Ramadani

📊 Statistics

MIL 10 LEC
69%
Possession (%)
31%
2.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.16
20
Total Shots
3
6
Shots on Target
0
8
Shots off Target
3
16
Shots Inside Box
2
10
Corner Kicks
2
6
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
11
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

12 · 1 – 0
Koni De Winter
Yellow Card
21'
Half-time · 0 – 0
54'
L. Banda ↓ · R. Sottil ↑
Substitution 1
68'
Tete Morente ↓ · N. Stulic ↑
Substitution 2
N. Fullkrug ↓ · C. Pulisic ↑
Substitution 1
72'
R. Loftus-Cheek ↓ · S. Ricci ↑
Substitution 2
73'
N. Fullkrug
Assist · A. Saelemaekers · 1–0
76'
Z. Athekame ↓ · A. Saelemaekers ↑
Substitution 3
80'
84'
Ylber Ramadani
Yellow Card
84'
K. Ndri ↓ · A. Gallo ↑
Substitution 3
85'
Y. Maleh ↓ · Y. Ramadani ↑
Substitution 4
L. Modric ↓ · A. Jashari ↑
Substitution 4
87'
C. Nkunku ↓ · R. Leao ↑
Substitution 5
87'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.00 53% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.64 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.94 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.80 28% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Home Win 1.33 76% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
BTTS No 1.53 64% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.04 76% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.40 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.37 74% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Draw 5.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.84 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 13.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 7.20 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.81u −22% ROI