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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Lecce — Parma

Match Lecce vs Parma January 11, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 11:30
1:2
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Referee Livio Marinelli, Italy
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 62% · book 1.77
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 43% · book 2.66
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 39% · book 2.76
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.88 – 1.12
Δ −0.24
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.77 — +9.5% better than the market.

Lecce and Parma face off in a tight Serie A clash where defensive solidity might dominate. Lecce's home edge is mild but noticeable, with a compact block likely to challenge Parma's slightly sharper attack. Parma's recent form shows a bit more consistency, hinting at a balanced contest with limited goal-scoring chances. Expect a cautious tempo with both sides wary of conceding early.

  • Lecce's home defense vs Parma's attack
  • Parma's better recent form
  • Low-scoring, tactical battle likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.77 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEC 4-2-3-1 · PAR 4-3-3
Subs used · LEC
54' Ndri ↑ · Pierotti
65' Gallo ↑ · Stulic
77' Sottil ↑ · Ndaba
78' Gandelman ↑ · Maleh
78' Coulibaly ↑ · Ramadani
Subs used · PAR
63' Estevez ↑ · Keita
80' Benedyczak ↑ · Ondrejka
80' Ordonez ↑ · Bernabe
84' Britschgi ↑ · Oristanio

📊 Statistics

LEC 12 PAR
41%
Possession (%)
59%
0.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.12
10
Total Shots
12
1
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
6
6
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
17
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
3
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

18 · 1 – 2
N. Stulic
Assist · L. Banda · 1–0
1'
Santiago Pierotti
Yellow Card
23'
Half-time · 1 – 0
K. Ndri ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑
Substitution 1
54'
Ylber Ramadani
Yellow Card
55'
Lameck Banda
Red Card
57'
Mohamed Kaba
Yellow Card
62'
63'
N. Estevez ↓ · M. Keita ↑
Substitution 1
64'
Tiago Gabriel
Own goal · 1–1
A. Gallo ↓ · N. Stulic ↑
Substitution 2
65'
69'
Enrico Del Prato
Yellow Card
72'
M. Pellegrino
Assist · A. Bernabe · 1–2
R. Sottil ↓ · C. Ndaba ↑
Substitution 3
77'
O. Gandelman ↓ · Y. Maleh ↑
Substitution 4
78'
L. Coulibaly ↓ · Y. Ramadani ↑
Substitution 5
78'
80'
A. Benedyczak ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑
Substitution 2
80'
C. Ordonez ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑
Substitution 3
84'
S. Britschgi ↓ · G. Oristanio ↑
Substitution 4
Kialonda Gaspar
Red Card
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.77 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.66 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.76 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.14 38% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.70 30% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.88 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.08 32% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.55 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.43 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.51 61% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.50 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.06 32% Cashed +2.06 Cashed
Draw 3.06 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.56 57% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.19 87% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.12 84% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.60 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.64u −10% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
LEC – PAR @ 1.77
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →