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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Sunderland — Leeds

Match Sunderland vs Leeds December 28, 2025

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee Tony Harrington, England
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.94
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.73
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 43% · book 2.05
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.70 – 2.17
Δ −1.47
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.94 — +7.7% better than the market.

Leeds arrive with a clear quality edge and stronger offensive numbers, suggesting they can break down Sunderland's compact defense. Sunderland's home momentum and solid defensive shape could limit chances, making this a tactical battle. Recent form favors Sunderland slightly, hinting at a tight contest with few goals expected.

  • Leeds' attacking threat vs Sunderland's disciplined defense
  • Home side's recent steady form and resilience
  • Odds suggest a moderate-paced game with limited scoring

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.94 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · LEE 3-5-2
Subs used · SUN
68' Mayenda ↑ · Rigg
68' Isidor ↑ · Brobbey
85' Mundle ↑ · Adingra
Subs used · LEE
31' Tanaka ↑ · Rodon
73' Nmecha ↑ · Okafor
85' Gnonto ↑ · Calvert-Lewin

📊 Statistics

SUN 11 LEE
43%
Possession (%)
57%
0.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.17
8
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
11
3
Corner Kicks
9
4
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
9
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

9 · 1 – 1
S. Adingra
Assist · G. Xhaka · 1–0
28'
31'
A. Tanaka ↓ · J. Rodon ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 1 – 0
47'
D. Calvert-Lewin
Assist · B. Aaronson · 1–1
Trai Hume
Yellow Card
61'
E. Mayenda ↓ · C. Rigg ↑
Substitution 1
68'
W. Isidor ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑
Substitution 2
68'
73'
L. Nmecha ↓ · N. Okafor ↑
Substitution 2
R. Mundle ↓ · S. Adingra ↑
Substitution 3
85'
85'
W. Gnonto ↓ · D. Calvert-Lewin ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.94 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.73 62% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.05 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.29 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 44% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Home Win 2.68 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.90 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.96 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.17 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.53 70% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.30 81% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 65% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.47 57% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 88% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.35 28% Cashed +2.35 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.25 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.16u −19% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
SUN – LEE @ 1.94
+7.7%
Edge
Forecast →