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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Lecce — Como

Match Lecce vs Como December 27, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Lecce
Lecce
Home · last 5 D W L W W
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 14:00
0:3
Full-time
Como
Como
W D W W W Away · last 5
Referee Matteo Marchetti, Italy
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 60% · book 1.89
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.70
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.79
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.76 – 1.63
Δ −0.87
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Como enters this Serie A clash with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Lecce’s home advantage is somewhat limited by their defensive struggles against Como’s sharper attack. Expect a tactical battle where Como’s pressing and offensive efficiency could exploit Lecce’s vulnerabilities.

  • Como’s superior overall strength and offensive edge
  • Lecce’s home momentum tempered by defensive gaps
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEC 4-1-4-1 · COM 4-2-3-1
Subs used · LEC
69' Ndri ↑ · Maleh
69' Camarda ↑ · Stulic
79' Sala ↑ · Pierotti
79' J. Helgason ↑ · Sottil
90+3' Gorter ↑ · Ramadani
Subs used · COM
46' Van der Brempt ↑ · Smolcic
78' O. Kempf ↑ · Carlos
78' Kuhn ↑ · Rodriguez
84' Baturina ↑ · Vojvoda
90+1' Le Borgne ↑ · Paz

📊 Statistics

LEC 03 COM
38%
Possession (%)
62%
0.76
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.63
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
3
6
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
24
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

19 · 0 – 3
20'
N. Paz
Assist · M. Vojvoda · 0–1
Riccardo Sottil
Yellow Card
22'
34'
Ivan Smolčić
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
46'
I. Van der Brempt ↓ · I. Smolcic ↑
Substitution 1
54'
Jean Butez
Yellow Card
56'
Diego Carlos
Yellow Card
66'
J. Ramon
Assist · M. Vojvoda · 0–2
K. Ndri ↓ · Y. Maleh ↑
Substitution 1
69'
F. Camarda ↓ · N. Stulic ↑
Substitution 2
69'
71'
Máximo Perrone
Yellow Card
75'
A. Douvikas
Assist · N. Paz · 0–3
78'
M. O. Kempf ↓ · Diego Carlos ↑
Substitution 2
78'
N. Kuhn ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 3
A. Sala ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑
Substitution 3
79'
T. J. Helgason ↓ · R. Sottil ↑
Substitution 4
79'
Ylber Ramadani
Yellow Card
81'
84'
M. Baturina ↓ · M. Vojvoda ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
A. Le Borgne ↓ · N. Paz ↑
Substitution 5
O. Gorter ↓ · Y. Ramadani ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
Full-time · 0 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.89 60% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.70 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.79 57% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.35 38% Cashed +1.35 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.08 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.04 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.03 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.22 85% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.44 64% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.35 60% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.50 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 81% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 88% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 3.56 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.35 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.92 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.58 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.62u −27% ROI