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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Inter — Lecce

Match Inter vs Lecce January 14, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Wed 14 Jan · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Fabio Maresca, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.67 ✓
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 64% · book 1.65 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 37% · book 2.76 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.78 – 0.48
Δ +1.30
Possession
68% – 32%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Inter hosts Lecce at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a significant quality edge. Their potent attack faces a Lecce defense that has struggled, suggesting Inter's pressing and set-piece threat could dominate. Lecce's away form and offensive output lag behind, hinting at a compact Inter block controlling the pace in a likely low-scoring affair.

  • Inter's home edge and offensive firepower
  • Lecce's defensive vulnerabilities
  • Expected controlled tempo favoring Inter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · LEC 4-2-3-1
INT · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · LEC 1 Sommer 25 Akanji 15 Acerbi 95 Bastoni 17 Diouf 23 Barella 7 Zieliński 22 Mkhitaryan 30 Augusto 14 Bonny 9 Thuram 30 Falcone 17 Veiga 5 Siebert 44 Gabriel 25 Gallo 29 Coulibaly 93 Maleh 50 Pierotti 16 Gandelman 23 Sottil 9 Štulić
Subs used · INT
56' Frattesi ↑ · Barella ↓
56' Esposito ↑ · Bonny ↓
57' Henrique ↑ · Diouf ↓
72' Martinez ↑ · Mkhitaryan ↓
87' Sucic ↑ · Thuram ↓
Subs used · LEC
69' Morente ↑ · Sottil ↓
69' Kaba ↑ · Gandelman ↓
82' Ndri ↑ · Pierotti ↓
86' Sala ↑ · Maleh ↓

📊 Statistics

INT 1 – 0 LEC
68%
Possession (%)
32%
1.78
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.48
21
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
1
9
Shots off Target
2
13
Shots Inside Box
6
11
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
63%
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 0
Marcus Thuram
Yellow Card
▮
17'
Half-time · 0 – 0
D. Frattesi ↓ · N. Barella ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
56'
F. Esposito ↓ · A. Bonny ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
56'
Luis Henrique ↓ · A. Diouf ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
57'
63'
▮
Danilo Veiga
Yellow Card
69'
⇄
Tete Morente ↓ · R. Sottil ↑
Substitution 1
69'
⇄
M. Kaba ↓ · O. Gandelman ↑
Substitution 2
L. Martinez ↓ · H. Mkhitaryan ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
F. Esposito
1–0
⚽
78'
82'
⇄
K. Ndri ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑
Substitution 3
86'
⇄
A. Sala ↓ · Y. Maleh ↑
Substitution 4
P. Sucic ↓ · M. Thuram ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
87'
Luís Henrique
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.67 — 41% Cashed +1.67 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.65 — 64% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.76 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.43 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 9.03 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 — 20% Cashed +4.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.03 — 97% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
BTTS No 1.55 — 63% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Home Win 1.15 — 84% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.55 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 6.42 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 — 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 22.00 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −0.42u −3% ROI