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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Genoa — Atalanta

Match Genoa vs Atalanta December 21, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 19:45
0:1
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Genoa Referee Rosario Abisso, Italy
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 57% · book 2.03 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.84 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 1.95 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.86 – 1.60
Δ −0.74
Possession
29% – 71%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atalanta arrive with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Genoa's home momentum is tempered by a defensive setup that may struggle against Atalanta's sharper attack. The visitors' pressing and tactical discipline could exploit Genoa's vulnerabilities, especially given Atalanta's superior offensive metrics.

  • Atalanta's higher quality and form advantage
  • Genoa's defensive resilience tested by away attack
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

GEN 3-5-2 · ATA 3-4-2-1
GEN · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · ATA 1 Leali 27 Marcandalli 34 Otoa 22 Vásquez 15 Norton-Cuffy 17 Malinovskyi 32 Frendrup 77 Ellertsson 3 Martín 9 Vitinha 18 Ekuban 29 Carnesecchi 15 Roon 4 Hien ⚽ 23 Kolašinac 77 Zappacosta 6 Musah 13 Éderson 47 Bernasconi 17 Ketelaere 70 Maldini 9 Scamacca
Subs used · GEN
5' Sommariva ↑ · Martin ↓
67' Thorsby ↑ · Malinovskyi ↓
67' Colombo ↑ · Ekuban ↓
83' Masini ↑ · Vitinha ↓
Subs used · ATA
57' Samardzic ↑ · Maldini ↓
69' Zalewski ↑ · Bernasconi ↓
69' Sulemana ↑ · Zappacosta ↓
82' Brescianini ↑ · Ederson ↓
82' Krstovic ↑ · Kolasinac ↓

📊 Statistics

GEN 0 – 1 ATA
29%
Possession (%)
71%
0.86
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.60
6
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
9
6
Shots Inside Box
12
6
Corner Kicks
10
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
19
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

14 · 0 – 1
Nicola Leali
Red Card
▮
3'
D. Sommariva ↓ · A. Martin ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
5'
Half-time · 0 – 0
57'
⇄
L. Samardzic ↓ · D. Maldini ↑
Substitution 1
60'
▮
Lazar Samardžić
Yellow Card
M. Thorsby ↓ · R. Malinovskyi ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
L. Colombo ↓ · C. Ekuban ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
67'
69'
⇄
N. Zalewski ↓ · L. Bernasconi ↑
Substitution 2
69'
⇄
K. Sulemana ↓ · D. Zappacosta ↑
Substitution 3
79'
▮
Nicola Zalewski
Yellow Card
82'
⇄
M. Brescianini ↓ · Ederson ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
N. Krstovic ↓ · S. Kolasinac ↑
Substitution 5
P. Masini ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
Morten Thorsby
Yellow Card
▮
85'
90'
⚽
I. Hien
Assist · N. Zalewski · 0–1
Full-time · 0 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.03 — 57% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.84 — 55% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 — 50% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.16 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.89 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.27 — 83% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.43 — 57% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 — 91% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.30 — 30% Cashed +2.30 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.29 — 76% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.56 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.20 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.81u −17% ROI