P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Chelsea — Aston Villa

Match Chelsea vs Aston Villa December 27, 2025

Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 17:30
1:2
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Stuart Attwell, England
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.26
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.31
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 51% · book 2.01
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
2.14 – 1.19
Δ +0.95
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Chelsea hosts Aston Villa in a clash where Villa's recent winning streak contrasts with Chelsea's mixed form. Despite a slight quality edge for Villa, Chelsea's home momentum and attacking edge against Villa's defense could keep the game tight. Expect a balanced tempo with chances on both ends, but Chelsea's compact block and set-piece threat may prove decisive.

  • Villa's strong form brings confidence and pressing intensity.
  • Chelsea's home advantage and sharper attack vs Villa's defense.
  • Moderate pace suggested by odds hints at a controlled, tactical battle.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CHE 4-2-3-1 · AST 4-4-2
Subs used · CHE
69' Gusto ↑ · Cucurella
69' Gittens ↑ · Garnacho
69' Delap ↑ · Pedro
72' Estêvão ↑ · Palmer
Subs used · AST
58' Watkins ↑ · Buendia
59' Onana ↑ · McGinn
59' Sancho ↑ · Malen
83' Digne ↑ · Maatsen
83' Bogarde ↑ · Kamara

📊 Statistics

CHE 12 AST
63%
Possession (%)
37%
2.14
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.19
14
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
8
4
Shots off Target
1
8
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
7
16
Fouls
8
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
5
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

20 · 1 – 2
30'
Matty Cash
Yellow Card
Joao Pedro
Assist · R. James · 1–0
37'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Reece James
Yellow Card
57'
57'
Morgan Rogers
Yellow Card
58'
O. Watkins ↓ · E. Buendia ↑
Substitution 1
59'
A. Onana ↓ · J. McGinn ↑
Substitution 2
59'
J. Sancho ↓ · D. Malen ↑
Substitution 3
63'
O. Watkins
1–1
Trevoh Chalobah
Yellow Card
68'
M. Gusto ↓ · M. Cucurella ↑
Substitution 1
69'
J. Gittens ↓ · A. Garnacho ↑
Substitution 2
69'
L. Delap ↓ · Joao Pedro ↑
Substitution 3
69'
Liam Delap
Yellow Card
71'
Moisés Caicedo
Yellow Card
71'
Estêvão ↓ · C. Palmer ↑
Substitution 4
72'
78'
Boubacar Kamara
Yellow Card
83'
L. Digne ↓ · I. Maatsen ↑
Substitution 4
83'
L. Bogarde ↓ · B. Kamara ↑
Substitution 5
84'
O. Watkins
Assist · Y. Tielemans · 1–2
Enzo Fernández
Yellow Card
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.26 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.31 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.01 51% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
Home Win 1.91 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.75 53% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 55% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.80 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.16 27% Cashed +3.16 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 69% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.27 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.13 27% Cashed +2.13 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.44 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.90 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.98 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.23 77% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.50u −3% ROI