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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Genoa — Inter

Match Genoa vs Inter December 14, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 17:00
1:2
Full-time
Inter
Inter
D W W D D Away · last 5
Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Genoa Referee Daniele Doveri, Italy
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.08
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 52% · book 2.14
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 1.88
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.92 – 1.45
Δ −0.53
Possession
36% – 64%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.08 — +12.4% better than the market.

Inter enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a strong offensive profile against Genoa's less robust defense. Despite Genoa's recent home momentum, Inter's pressing and tactical depth should challenge their compact block. The home side's form is solid but less consistent compared to Inter's fluctuating results, hinting at a tactical battle with Inter likely to control the pace and create key chances.

  • Inter's superior attack vs Genoa's defense
  • Genoa's home resilience vs Inter's pressing
  • Moderate goal environment suggested by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 2.08 ✓ Cashed
AI 54% Implied 48% +1.08u
+108%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GEN 3-5-2 · INT 3-5-2
Subs used · GEN
58' Ekuban ↑ · Colombo
78' Gronbaek ↑ · Frendrup
78' Ekhator ↑ · Vitinha
89' Carboni ↑ · E. Ellertsson
89' Cornet ↑ · Otoa
Subs used · INT
74' Mkhitaryan ↑ · Sucic
74' Thuram ↑ · Esposito
84' Diouf ↑ · Martinez
90' de Vrij ↑ · Zielinski

📊 Statistics

GEN 12 INT
36%
Possession (%)
64%
0.92
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.45
5
Total Shots
18
3
Shots on Target
8
2
Shots off Target
2
3
Shots Inside Box
9
1
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
20
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 1 – 2
Stefano Sabelli
Yellow Card
-5'
6'
Y. Bisseck
Assist · L. Martinez · 0–1
38'
L. Martinez
0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
54'
Manuel Akanji
Yellow Card
C. Ekuban ↓ · L. Colombo ↑
Substitution 1
58'
Vitinha
Assist · A. Martin · 1–2
68'
73'
Nicolò Barella
Yellow Card
74'
H. Mkhitaryan ↓ · P. Sucic ↑
Substitution 1
74'
M. Thuram ↓ · F. Esposito ↑
Substitution 2
78'
Yann Bisseck
Yellow Card
A. Gronbaek ↓ · M. Frendrup ↑
Substitution 2
78'
J. Ekhator ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 3
78'
84'
A. Diouf ↓ · L. Martinez ↑
Substitution 3
V. Carboni ↓ · M. E. Ellertsson ↑
Substitution 4
89'
M. Cornet ↓ · S. Otoa ↑
Substitution 5
89'
90'
S. de Vrij ↓ · P. Zielinski ↑
Substitution 4
Jeff Ekhator
Yellow Card
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.08 54% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.14 52% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.88 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.68 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.75 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.56 68% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.80 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.14 90% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.19 68% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 77% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 4.39 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.32 68% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.62 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 7.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 5.23 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.17u −30% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
GEN – INT @ 2.08
+12.4%
Edge
Forecast →