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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Pisa — Parma

Match Pisa vs Parma December 8, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Mon 08 Dec · 14:00
0:1
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee Daniele Doveri, Italy
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.81 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.60 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 48% · book 2.52 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.39 – 1.18
Δ +0.21
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.81 — +10.5% better than the market.

Pisa holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid defensive setup, which could stifle Parma's attack despite their slightly better recent form. The home side's compact block and home momentum suggest a controlled pace, favoring a low-scoring affair. Parma's offensive efforts may struggle against Pisa's disciplined backline, hinting at a tight contest with limited goals.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • Recent form favors away but quality gap leans home
  • Likely cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 55% +0.81u
+81%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PIS 3-5-2 · PAR 4-3-3
PIS · 3-5-2 4-3-3 · PAR 22 Scuffet 33 Calabresi 4 Caracciolo 5 Canestrelli 15 Touré 36 Piccinini 20 Aebischer 6 Marin 3 Angori 9 Meister 18 Nzola 40 Corvi 27 Britschgi 15 Prato 5 Valenti 14 Valeri 10 Bernabé 8 Estévez 16 Keita 7 Benedyczak ⚽ 9 Pellegrino 17 Ondrejka
Subs used · PIS
46' Leris ↑ · Angori ↓
46' Akinsanmiro ↑ · Marin ↓
76' Moreo ↑ · Calabresi ↓
76' Lorran ↑ · Piccinini ↓
84' Tramoni ↑ · Meister ↓
Subs used · PAR
59' Sorensen ↑ · Ondrejka ↓
75' Ordonez ↑ · Bernabe ↓
75' Oristanio ↑ · Benedyczak ↓
90+2' Lovik ↑

📊 Statistics

PIS 0 – 1 PAR
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.39
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.18
13
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
0
0
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
7
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 1
40'
⚽
A. Benedyczak (P)
Penalty · 0–1
41'
▮
Adrian Benedyczak
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
M. Leris ↓ · S. Angori ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
E. Akinsanmiro ↓ · M. Marin ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
49'
▮
Emanuele Valeri
Yellow Card
59'
⇄
O. Sorensen ↓ · J. Ondrejka ↑
Substitution 1
Michel Aebischer
Yellow Card
▮
68'
75'
⇄
C. Ordonez ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑
Substitution 2
75'
⇄
G. Oristanio ↓ · A. Benedyczak ↑
Substitution 3
S. Moreo ↓ · A. Calabresi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
Lorran ↓ · G. Piccinini ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
Idrissa Touré
Yellow Card
▮
82'
M. Tramoni ↓ · H. Meister ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
90+2'
⇄
M. Lovik ↓ ·
Substitution 4
M'Bala Nzola
Red Card
▮
90+3'
Full-time · 0 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.81 — 61% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.60 — 69% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Home Win 2.52 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.78 — 42% Cashed +1.78 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.72 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.55 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.05 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.30 — 22% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.50 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.37 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.10 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.50 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.59 — 52% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.21 — 86% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.12 — 85% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Away Win 3.40 — 22% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.10 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.19u −7% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
PIS – PAR @ 1.81
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →