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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Cremonese — Lecce

Match Cremonese vs Lecce December 7, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Cremonese
Cremonese
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 11:30
2:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
D W L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giovanni Zini · Cremona Referee Giuseppe Mucera, Italy
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 62% · book 1.80
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 68% · book 1.60
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 48% · book 2.56
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
2.04 – 0.92
Δ +1.12
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.80 — +11.3% better than the market.

Cremonese holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Their offensive strength outmatches Lecce's defensive setup, while Lecce's attack faces a tough defensive line. Recent form slightly favors Lecce, but Cremonese's home momentum and superior xG hint at a disciplined, low-scoring contest.

  • Home side's attacking edge vs away defense
  • Compact defensive block expected from Lecce
  • Likely cautious pace with under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed
AI 62% Implied 56% +0.80u
+80%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CRE 3-5-2 · LEC 4-2-3-1
Subs used · CRE
68' Zerbin ↑ · Vandeputte
68' Grassi ↑ · Bondo
74' Sanabria ↑ · Bonazzoli
88' Vazquez ↑ · Bianchetti
88' Folino ↑ · Barbieri
Subs used · LEC
46' Sottil ↑ · Banda
67' Ndri ↑ · Pierotti
67' Camarda ↑ · Stulic
77' Sala ↑ · Berisha
77' Kaba ↑ · Ramadani

📊 Statistics

CRE 20 LEC
49%
Possession (%)
51%
2.04
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.92
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
5
15
Fouls
12
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 2 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
R. Sottil ↓ · L. Banda ↑
Substitution 1
45+3'
Lameck Banda
Yellow Card
F. Bonazzoli (P)
Penalty · 1–0
53'
67'
K. Ndri ↓ · S. Pierotti ↑
Substitution 2
67'
F. Camarda ↓ · N. Stulic ↑
Substitution 3
A. Zerbin ↓ · J. Vandeputte ↑
Substitution 1
68'
A. Grassi ↓ · W. Bondo ↑
Substitution 2
68'
A. Sanabria ↓ · F. Bonazzoli ↑
Substitution 3
74'
77'
A. Sala ↓ · M. Berisha ↑
Substitution 4
77'
M. Kaba ↓ · Y. Ramadani ↑
Substitution 5
A. Sanabria
Assist · A. Zerbin · 2–0
78'
Matteo Bianchetti
Yellow Card
83'
84'
Antonino Gallo
Yellow Card
F. Vazquez ↓ · M. Bianchetti ↑
Substitution 4
88'
F. Folino ↓ · T. Barbieri ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.80 62% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.60 68% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Home Win 2.56 48% Cashed +1.56 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.70 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.79 48% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.61 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.13 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.27 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.38 77% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Draw 3.12 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.53 58% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.58 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.19 85% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.12 86% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Away Win 3.31 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 5.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.03u −24% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
CRE – LEC @ 1.80
+11.3%
Edge
Forecast →