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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Burnley — Everton

Match Burnley vs Everton December 27, 2025

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 15:00
0:0
Full-time
Everton
Everton
L D D L L Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee Craig Pawson, England
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.74
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 56% · book 2.07
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.87
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.41 – 0.82
Δ +0.59
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.74 — +10.5% better than the market.

Burnley face a tough test at Turf Moor against Everton, who hold a clear quality edge and better recent form. Burnley's defensive solidity is notable, but Everton's sharper attack and superior away strength suggest they can break through. The home side's recent struggles and Everton's momentum hint at a controlled, lower-scoring game with Everton likely to edge the points.

  • Everton's pressing and offensive edge challenge Burnley's defense
  • Burnley's home compactness may limit goals
  • Recent form favors Everton's confidence and rhythm

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.74 ✓ Cashed
AI 64% Implied 57% +0.74u
+74%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BUR 3-4-3 · EVE 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BUR
53' Florentino ↑ · Cullen
73' Anthony ↑ · Bruun Larsen
88' Flemming ↑ · Broja
88' Tresor Ndayishimiye ↑ · Edwards
Subs used · EVE
69' Rohl ↑ · Alcaraz
70' Barry ↑ · Beto
88' Patterson ↑ · Dibling

📊 Statistics

BUR 00 EVE
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.41
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.82
16
Total Shots
15
0
Shots on Target
6
9
Shots off Target
6
9
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
3
8
Fouls
8
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
0
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

9 · 0 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
Florentino ↓ · J. Cullen ↑
Substitution 1
53'
69'
M. Rohl ↓ · C. Alcaraz ↑
Substitution 1
70'
T. Barry ↓ · Beto ↑
Substitution 2
J. Anthony ↓ · J. Bruun Larsen ↑
Substitution 2
73'
80'
Tim Iroegbunam
Yellow Card
86'
Tyler Dibling
Yellow Card
Z. Flemming ↓ · A. Broja ↑
Substitution 3
88'
M. Tresor Ndayishimiye ↓ · M. Edwards ↑
Substitution 4
88'
88'
N. Patterson ↓ · T. Dibling ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 0 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.74 64% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Away Win 2.07 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.87 58% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.99 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.29 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.85 44% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.20 37% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 12% Cashed +8.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.28 82% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.42 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.44 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 82% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.46 26% Cashed +2.46 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.96 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.20 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.13 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +7.15u +42% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
BUR – EVE @ 1.74
+10.5%
Edge
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