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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A AC Milan — Lazio

Match AC Milan vs Lazio November 29, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
D W L L W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Giuseppe Collu, Italy
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.66
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.85
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.80
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.56 – 0.75
Δ +0.81
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AC Milan Looks to Assert Home Dominance

AC Milan enters this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a sturdy defense that challenges Lazio's attack. The Rossoneri's offensive prowess is well-matched against Lazio's defensive setup, suggesting a tactical battle favoring the hosts. Recent form favors Milan slightly, and the moderate pace implied by odds hints at a controlled game with set-piece opportunities likely to be decisive.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attack
  • Superior overall quality and form
  • Moderate tempo favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MIL 3-5-2 · LAZ 4-3-3
Subs used · MIL
65' Loftus-Cheek ↑ · Fofana
82' Ricci ↑ · Nkunku
Subs used · LAZ
62' Dele-Bashiru ↑ · Vecino
62' Castellanos ↑ · Dia
70' Pedro ↑ · Isaksen
85' Tavares ↑ · Pellegrini
85' Noslin ↑ · Basic

📊 Statistics

MIL 10 LAZ
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.56
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.75
16
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
6
1
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
12
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
3
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
Fikayo Tomori
Yellow Card
26'
Half-time · 0 – 0
R. Leao
Assist · F. Tomori · 1–0
51'
57'
Luca Pellegrini
Yellow Card
62'
F. Dele-Bashiru ↓ · M. Vecino ↑
Substitution 1
62'
T. Castellanos ↓ · B. Dia ↑
Substitution 2
Matteo Gabbia
Yellow Card
64'
R. Loftus-Cheek ↓ · Y. Fofana ↑
Substitution 1
65'
70'
Pedro ↓ · G. Isaksen ↑
Substitution 3
72'
Alessio Romagnoli
Yellow Card
S. Ricci ↓ · C. Nkunku ↑
Substitution 2
82'
85'
N. Tavares ↓ · L. Pellegrini ↑
Substitution 4
85'
T. Noslin ↓ · T. Basic ↑
Substitution 5
Samuele Ricci
Yellow Card
89'
90+13'
Mattia Zaccagni
Yellow Card
90+14'
Mattéo Guendouzi
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.66 65% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.85 53% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS No 1.80 55% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.11 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.07 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.38 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.17 88% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.25 65% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.60 28% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.37 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 91% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 74% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.70 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.09 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.30 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.26u −19% ROI