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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Napoli — Atalanta

Match Napoli vs Atalanta November 22, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Nov · 19:45
3:1
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Referee Marco Di Bello, Italy
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 2.30 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.03 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.82 ✗
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.58 – 0.82
Δ +0.76
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Napoli holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum despite mixed recent results. Their offensive strength faces a tough Atalanta defense, suggesting a tactical battle with Napoli likely pressing higher. The home side's slightly better form and compact defensive setup could limit Atalanta’s chances, pointing to a controlled game with moderate goal opportunities.

  • Napoli’s home edge supports a disciplined approach.
  • Atalanta’s defense may stifle Napoli’s attack.
  • Recent form hints at a balanced but cautious tempo.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NAP 3-4-3 · ATA 3-4-1-2
NAP · 3-4-3 3-4-1-2 · ATA 32 Milinković-Savić 31 Beukema 13 Rrahmani 4 Buongiorno 22 Lorenzo 68 Lobotka 8 McTominay 3 Gutiérrez 7 Neres ⚽ 19 Højlund 70 Lang ⚽ 29 Carnesecchi 19 Djimsiti 4 Hien 69 Ahanor 16 Bellanova 15 Roon 13 Éderson 77 Zappacosta 8 Pašalić 17 Ketelaere 11 Lookman
Subs used · NAP
63' Jesus ↑ · Rrahmani ↓
69' Elmas ↑ · Lang ↓
69' Politano ↑ · Neres ↓
69' Mazzocchi ↑ · Gutierrez ↓
74' Lucca ↑ · Hojlund ↓
Subs used · ATA
46' Kossounou ↑ · Ahanor ↓
46' Scamacca ↑ · Pasalic ↓
62' Zalewski ↑ · Zappacosta ↓
77' Samardzic ↑ · De Ketelaere ↓
82' Maldini ↑ · Lookman ↓

📊 Statistics

NAP 3 – 1 ATA
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.58
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.82
11
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
9
8
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
12
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

17 · 3 – 1
David Neres
Assist · R. Hojlund · 1–0
⚽
17'
David Neres
Assist · S. McTominay · 2–0
⚽
38'
N. Lang
Assist · G. Di Lorenzo · 3–0
⚽
45'
Half-time · 3 – 0
46'
⇄
O. Kossounou ↓ · H. Ahanor ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
G. Scamacca ↓ · M. Pasalic ↑
Substitution 2
52'
⚽
G. Scamacca
Assist · R. Bellanova · 3–1
59'
▮
Marten de Roon
Yellow Card
62'
▮
Davide Zappacosta
Yellow Card
62'
⇄
N. Zalewski ↓ · D. Zappacosta ↑
Substitution 3
Juan Jesus ↓ · A. Rrahmani ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
E. Elmas ↓ · N. Lang ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
69'
M. Politano ↓ · David Neres ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
69'
P. Mazzocchi ↓ · M. Gutierrez ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
69'
L. Lucca ↓ · R. Hojlund ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
74'
Juan Jesus
Yellow Card
▮
75'
77'
⇄
L. Samardzic ↓ · C. De Ketelaere ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
D. Maldini ↓ · A. Lookman ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.30 — 51% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
BTTS No 2.03 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.82 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.15 — 43% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.85 — 49% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.61 — 51% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.70 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.45 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.35 — 78% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.45 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 — 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 — 90% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 — 69% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Draw 3.38 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 — 23% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Away Win 3.55 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.47u −9% ROI