P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Leeds — Crystal Palace

Match Leeds vs Crystal Palace December 20, 2025

Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 20:00
4:1
Full-time
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
L D L D L Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds Referee Thomas Bramall, England
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.17
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 54% · book 1.83
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.03
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
3.05 – 1.58
Δ +1.47
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Leeds hosts Crystal Palace at Elland Road in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Palace's stronger attack faces a Leeds defense that has struggled recently, suggesting Palace could press their advantage. However, Leeds' home momentum and compact block could frustrate Palace's rhythm, making this a tactical battle. The recent form favors Palace slightly, and the match hints at a moderate tempo with chances for goals on both ends.

  • Palace's offensive edge against Leeds' shaky defense
  • Leeds' home resilience and pressing intensity
  • Balanced pace with potential for goal-scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEE 3-5-2 · CRY 3-4-2-1
Subs used · LEE
77' Tanaka ↑ · Aaronson
77' Gnonto ↑ · Okafor
80' Justin ↑ · Bogle
87' Gruev ↑ · Ampadu
87' Piroe ↑ · Calvert-Lewin
Subs used · CRY
46' Lerma ↑ · Hughes
65' Sosa ↑ · Clyne
77' Uche ↑ · Mateta
77' Devenny ↑ · Nketiah
86' Drakes-Thomas ↑ · Pino

📊 Statistics

LEE 41 CRY
53%
Possession (%)
47%
3.05
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.58
20
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
3
14
Shots Inside Box
5
9
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
3
5
Fouls
10
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
1
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

19 · 4 – 1
D. Calvert-Lewin
1–0
38'
42'
Maxence Lacroix
Yellow Card
D. Calvert-Lewin
Assist · J. Bijol · 2–0
45'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
J. Lerma ↓ · W. Hughes ↑
Substitution 1
45+2'
Marc Guéhi
Yellow Card
E. Ampadu
3–0
60'
65'
B. Sosa ↓ · N. Clyne ↑
Substitution 2
A. Tanaka ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 1
77'
W. Gnonto ↓ · N. Okafor ↑
Substitution 2
77'
77'
C. Uche ↓ · J. Mateta ↑
Substitution 3
77'
J. Devenny ↓ · E. Nketiah ↑
Substitution 4
J. Justin ↓ · J. Bogle ↑
Substitution 3
80'
86'
J. Drakes-Thomas ↓ · Y. Pino ↑
Substitution 5
I. Gruev ↓ · E. Ampadu ↑
Substitution 4
87'
J. Piroe ↓ · D. Calvert-Lewin ↑
Substitution 5
87'
90'
J. Devenny (P)
Penalty · 3–1
A. Stach
4–1
90'
Lucas Perri
Yellow Card
90+1'
90+7'
Adam Wharton
Yellow Card
Full-time · 4 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.17 50% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.83 54% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS No 2.03 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.81 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.01 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.73 29% Cashed +1.73 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.93 29% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.52 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.86 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.00 28% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.48 56% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.39 74% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 92% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.35 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.36 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.39u −2% ROI