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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Atalanta — Lazio

Match Atalanta vs Lazio October 19, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 16:00
0:0
Full-time
Lazio
Lazio
D W L L W Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Giuseppe Collu, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.81
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 85% · book 1.23
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.88
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
2.32 – 0.25
Δ +2.07
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

Atalanta hosts Lazio in a clash that promises excitement. Our model suggests Atalanta has a 62.09% chance of winning, with odds at 1.81. The home side's overall strength and attacking profile give them an edge. Meanwhile, the Over 2.5 Goals market shows a slight value with a 53.72% estimated probability against odds of 1.88. Expect a dynamic encounter with potential for goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATA 3-4-2-1 · LAZ 4-3-3
Subs used · ATA
67' Scalvini ↑ · Ahanor
67' De Roon ↑ · Pasalic
67' Krstovic ↑ · Sulemana
82' Maldini ↑ · Lookman
Subs used · LAZ
22' Isaksen ↑ · Cancellieri
75' Vecino ↑ · Basic
75' Pedro ↑ · Zaccagni
86' Provstgaard ↑ · Tavares
86' Lazzari ↑ · Marusic

📊 Statistics

ATA 00 LAZ
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.25
16
Total Shots
4
6
Shots on Target
1
7
Shots off Target
2
12
Shots Inside Box
1
7
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
5
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
4
Yellow Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

13 · 0 – 0
22'
G. Isaksen ↓ · M. Cancellieri ↑
Substitution 1
Charles De Ketelaere
Yellow Card
29'
Kamaldeen Sulemana
Yellow Card
40'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Mario Pašalić
Yellow Card
53'
Isak Hien
Yellow Card
62'
G. Scalvini ↓ · H. Ahanor ↑
Substitution 1
67'
M. De Roon ↓ · M. Pasalic ↑
Substitution 2
67'
N. Krstovic ↓ · K. Sulemana ↑
Substitution 3
67'
75'
M. Vecino ↓ · T. Basic ↑
Substitution 2
75'
Pedro ↓ · M. Zaccagni ↑
Substitution 3
D. Maldini ↓ · A. Lookman ↑
Substitution 4
82'
86'
O. Provstgaard ↓ · N. Tavares ↑
Substitution 4
86'
M. Lazzari ↓ · A. Marusic ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.81 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.23 85% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.88 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.27 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.78 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.10 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.20 23% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Away Win 4.95 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 45% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 95% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.90 5% Cashed +12.90 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.00 22% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.07 46% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 68% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.23 38% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.38 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.61 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +14.15u +83% ROI