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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Hellas Verona — Sassuolo

Match Hellas Verona vs Sassuolo October 3, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
Home · last 5 D D L D L
Kick-off
Fri 03 Oct · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Referee Francesco Fourneau, Italy
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 43% · book 2.86
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 71% · book 1.53
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.30
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.88 – 1.67
Δ −0.79
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
3 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Verona vs Sassuolo — prediction, probabilities & betting angles. The model leans toward the visitors: Sassuolo carry the stronger overall profile and a clearer route to chances, while Verona’s recent attacking output has been flat despite home advantage. Expect the hosts to fight through compact phases and restarts, but the away side’s direct play and first-ball quality give them the edge in live transitions.

Game script & totals. A medium scoring baseline fits. If Sassuolo strike first, the match should open up into a more end-to-end rhythm; if Verona hold early, long 0–1/1–1 states stay live. The safer cover clusters around away-sided protection, while the higher-variance stance is the outright away win and the main overs. Key swing factors: first-goal timing, Verona’s set-piece productivity, and how well Sassuolo manage counters after losing the ball.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

VER 3-1-4-2 · SAS 4-3-3
Subs used · VER
65' Akpa Akpro ↑ · Gagliardini
76' Niasse ↑ · Serdar
76' Sarr ↑ · Bernede
85' Kastanos ↑ · Giovane
85' Mosquera ↑ · Bradaric
Subs used · SAS
59' Fadera ↑ · Lauriente
59' Pierini ↑ · Volpato
60' Thorstvedt ↑ · Vranckx
82' Iannoni ↑ · Kone
87' Cheddira ↑ · Pinamonti

📊 Statistics

VER 01 SAS
58%
Possession (%)
42%
0.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.67
17
Total Shots
11
9
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
12
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
9

Match events

16 · 0 – 1
-5'
Walid Cheddira
Yellow Card
Suat Serdar
Yellow Card
44'
Half-time · 0 – 0
59'
A. Fadera ↓ · A. Lauriente ↑
Substitution 1
59'
N. Pierini ↓ · C. Volpato ↑
Substitution 2
60'
K. Thorstvedt ↓ · A. Vranckx ↑
Substitution 3
64'
Nicholas Pierini
Yellow Card
J. Akpa Akpro ↓ · R. Gagliardini ↑
Substitution 1
65'
71'
A. Pinamonti
0–1
75'
Arijanet Murić
Yellow Card
C. Niasse ↓ · S. Serdar ↑
Substitution 2
76'
A. Sarr ↓ · A. Bernede ↑
Substitution 3
76'
82'
E. Iannoni ↓ · I. Kone ↑
Substitution 4
G. Kastanos ↓ · Giovane ↑
Substitution 4
85'
D. Mosquera ↓ · D. Bradaric ↑
Substitution 5
85'
87'
W. Cheddira ↓ · A. Pinamonti ↑
Substitution 5
Rafik Belghali
Yellow Card
90+1'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 3 W · 2 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.86 43% Cashed +1.86 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.53 71% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.30 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.42 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Under 0.5 3.20 38% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 2 L +2.59u +52% ROI