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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Newcastle — Chelsea

Match Newcastle vs Chelsea December 20, 2025

England   /   Premier League
Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 12:30
2:2
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
L L D W L Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee Andy Madley, England
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.56 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.75 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 41% · book 2.45 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.26 – 1.25
Δ +1.01
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Newcastle hosts Chelsea in a Premier League clash where Chelsea's overall quality edge is clear, but Newcastle's home form and defensive solidity offer a strong counterbalance. Newcastle's pressing and compact block at St. James' Park could disrupt Chelsea's attacking rhythm, especially given Chelsea's slightly better offensive edge against Newcastle's defense.

  • Newcastle's recent home momentum contrasts with Chelsea's inconsistent away form.
  • Defensive resilience at home may limit Chelsea's chances despite their offensive quality.
  • The match hints at a moderate pace with a balanced goal environment, favoring tactical discipline.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NEW 4-3-3 · CHE 4-2-3-1
NEW · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · CHE 32 Ramsdale 67 Miley 12 Thiaw 5 Schär 3 Hall 39 Guimarães 8 Tonali 41 Ramsey 23 Murphy 27 Woltemade ⚽ 10 Gordon 1 Sánchez 27 Gusto 29 Fofana 23 Chalobah 3 Cucurella 24 James ⚽ 25 Caicedo 7 Neto 10 Palmer 49 Garnacho 20 Pedro ⚽
Subs used · NEW
72' Barnes ↑ · Gordon ↓
73' Wissa ↑ · Woltemade ↓
73' Elanga ↑ · Murphy ↓
89' Willock ↑ · Ramsey ↓
Subs used · CHE
54' Fernandez ↑ · Gusto ↓
79' Santos ↑ · Palmer ↓

📊 Statistics

NEW 2 – 2 CHE
47%
Possession (%)
53%
2.26
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.25
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
14
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
3
Yellow Cards
6
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

19 · 2 – 2
N. Woltemade
1–0
⚽
4'
7'
▮
Robert Sánchez
Yellow Card
N. Woltemade
Assist · A. Gordon · 2–0
⚽
20'
27'
▮
Alejandro Garnacho
Yellow Card
45'
▮
Malo Gusto
Yellow Card
Half-time · 2 – 0
49'
⚽
R. James
2–1
54'
⇄
E. Fernandez ↓ · M. Gusto ↑
Substitution 1
Fabian Schär
Yellow Card
▮
61'
66'
⚽
Joao Pedro
Assist · R. Sanchez · 2–2
70'
▮
Moisés Caicedo
Yellow Card
H. Barnes ↓ · A. Gordon ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
72'
Y. Wissa ↓ · N. Woltemade ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
A. Elanga ↓ · J. Murphy ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
Yoane Wissa
Yellow Card
▮
77'
79'
⇄
Andrey Santos ↓ · C. Palmer ↑
Substitution 2
82'
▮
Andrey Santos
Yellow Card
83'
▮
João Pedro
Yellow Card
Lewis Hall
Yellow Card
▮
86'
J. Willock ↓ · J. Ramsey ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
89'
Full-time · 2 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.56 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.75 — 57% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS No 2.45 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.80 — 35% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.25 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.60 — 60% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.88 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.07 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.49 — 73% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.58 — 53% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Home Win 2.84 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 — 79% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.70 — 25% Cashed +2.70 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.80u −11% ROI