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Football Poland Ekstraklasa Lech Poznan — Raków Częstochowa

Match Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa March 1, 2026

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Home · last 5 W W D W D
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 16:30
4:3
Full-time
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
W W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Bartosz Frankowski, Poland
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 2.27
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.20
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.05
Total goals
7
4 · 3
xG (open play)
2.77 – 1.93
Δ +0.84
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lech Poznan Looks to Leverage Home Edge

Lech Poznan holds a clear quality advantage and a mild home edge, suggesting they can impose their game. Their attacking strength faces a tough Raków defense, setting up a tactical battle. Recent form favors Lech, who have momentum from wins, while Raków’s recent draws and losses hint at some struggles. Expect a moderately paced match with chances on both ends, but Lech’s home momentum and sharper attack could tilt the balance.

  • Lech’s offensive pressure vs Raków’s solid defense
  • Home momentum and better recent form
  • Moderate tempo likely with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

LEC 43 RAK
54%
Possession (%)
46%
2.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.93
24
Total Shots
14
11
Shots on Target
7
6
Shots off Target
4
14
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
18
Fouls
12
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
4
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
8

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.27 51% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.05 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.65 55% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.67 51% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.67 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.27 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.42 77% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 30% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Away Win 3.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.06 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 76% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.89u −17% ROI