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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Leeds — Liverpool

Match Leeds vs Liverpool December 6, 2025

Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 17:30
3:3
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 60% · book 1.86
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.73
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 36% · book 2.75
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
1.51 – 1.92
Δ −0.41
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Liverpool enter Elland Road with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, despite recent patchy form. Leeds' home momentum is dented by defensive vulnerabilities against Liverpool's sharper attack, suggesting the visitors can control the tempo. Expect Liverpool to exploit their superior offensive firepower and defensive solidity to dictate play.

  • Liverpool's stronger overall quality and defensive resilience
  • Leeds' recent struggles and defensive gaps
  • Likely controlled pace favoring Liverpool's tactical setup

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEE 3-5-2 · LIV 4-2-3-1
Subs used · LEE
65' Tanaka ↑ · Gruev
65' Aaronson ↑ · Bijol
65' Gnonto ↑ · Okafor
87' Piroe ↑ · Ampadu
90+3' Bornauw ↑ · Bogle
Subs used · LIV
68' Gomez ↑ · Bradley
68' Mac Allister ↑ · Wirtz
83' Endo ↑ · Gakpo
84' Isak ↑ · Ekitike

📊 Statistics

LEE 33 LIV
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.51
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.92
12
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
7
5
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
12
5
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
14
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
3
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

21 · 3 – 3
Jayden Bogle
Yellow Card
20'
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Yellow Card
26'
45+3'
Conor Bradley
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
48'
H. Ekitike
0–1
50'
H. Ekitike
0–2
A. Tanaka ↓ · I. Gruev ↑
Substitution 1
65'
B. Aaronson ↓ · J. Bijol ↑
Substitution 2
65'
W. Gnonto ↓ · N. Okafor ↑
Substitution 3
65'
68'
J. Gomez ↓ · C. Bradley ↑
Substitution 1
68'
A. Mac Allister ↓ · F. Wirtz ↑
Substitution 2
D. Calvert-Lewin (P)
Penalty · 1–2
73'
A. Stach
Assist · B. Aaronson · 2–2
75'
80'
Virgil van Dijk
Yellow Card
80'
D. Szoboszlai
Assist · R. Gravenberch · 2–3
83'
W. Endo ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑
Substitution 3
84'
A. Isak ↓ · H. Ekitike ↑
Substitution 4
J. Piroe ↓ · E. Ampadu ↑
Substitution 4
87'
Pascal Struijk
Yellow Card
89'
A. Tanaka
3–3
90'
90+1'
Joe Gomez
Yellow Card
S. Bornauw ↓ · J. Bogle ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
Full-time · 3 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.86 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 58% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 36% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
BTTS No 2.38 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.28 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.64 59% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.07 40% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.40 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.26 83% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 80% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.90 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.07 23% Cashed +3.07 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.16 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.32 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.20u −7% ROI