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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Newcastle — Burnley

Match Newcastle vs Burnley December 6, 2025

Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L D L D Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle Referee Stuart Attwell, England
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.42
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.81
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 2.10
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.89 – 1.38
Δ +0.51
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Newcastle arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a notable edge in attack against Burnley's defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Burnley struggles for consistency on the road. Expect Newcastle's compact block and set-piece threat to challenge Burnley's less potent offense.

  • Home side's defensive solidity contrasts with Burnley's attacking struggles
  • Newcastle's pressing and tactical discipline likely to control tempo
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open end-to-end action

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NEW 4-3-3 · BUR 4-3-3
Subs used · NEW
63' Hall ↑ · Burn
63' Miley ↑ · Willock
74' Joelinton ↑ · Gordon
74' Wissa ↑ · Woltemade
90+5' Tonali ↑ · Ramsey
Subs used · BUR
46' Worrall ↑ · Foster
65' Laurent ↑ · Florentino
86' Anthony ↑ · Bruun Larsen
86' Flemming ↑ · Broja
90+5' Edwards ↑ · Ekdal

📊 Statistics

NEW 21 BUR
69%
Possession (%)
31%
1.89
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.38
17
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
2
6
Shots Inside Box
4
9
Corner Kicks
9
3
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
11
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

18 · 2 – 1
Bruno Guimaraes
1–0
31'
35'
Kyle Walker
Yellow Card
43'
Lucas Pires
Red Card
A. Gordon (P)
Penalty · 2–0
45'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
J. Worrall ↓ · L. Foster ↑
Substitution 1
Valentino Livramento
Yellow Card
52'
L. Hall ↓ · D. Burn ↑
Substitution 1
63'
L. Miley ↓ · J. Willock ↑
Substitution 2
63'
65'
J. Laurent ↓ · Florentino ↑
Substitution 2
Joelinton ↓ · A. Gordon ↑
Substitution 3
74'
Y. Wissa ↓ · N. Woltemade ↑
Substitution 4
74'
86'
J. Anthony ↓ · J. Bruun Larsen ↑
Substitution 3
86'
Z. Flemming ↓ · A. Broja ↑
Substitution 4
89'
Josh Laurent
Yellow Card
90'
Z. Flemming (P)
Penalty · 2–1
Jacob Ramsey
Yellow Card
90+3'
S. Tonali ↓ · J. Ramsey ↑
Substitution 5
90+5'
90+5'
M. Edwards ↓ · H. Ekdal ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.42 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.81 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.10 45% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.66 51% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.56 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.55 70% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.32 77% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.08 94% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.11 77% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.50 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.21 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.95 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 75% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Away Win 11.50 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.60 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.94u −35% ROI