This encounter features Motor Lublin with a modest home form and a tendency to draw, while Radomiak Radom shows a weaker away record with more losses. Motor Lublin’s defensive shape at home is relatively solid, and their attacking threat is limited but consistent. Radomiak’s attack is somewhat more potent but offset by defensive vulnerabilities, especially away. The home side’s recent form and home advantage suggest a competitive match with a slight edge to Motor Lublin. The game is likely to be balanced with moderate scoring chances, favoring a tight scoreline. The model favors a home win but keeps the draw well in play. Totals markets lean towards over 2.5 goals, reflecting the attacking capabilities on both sides, while BTTS is also probable given both teams’ scoring and conceding patterns.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
MOT 4-1-4-1 · RAD 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
MOT 2 – 2 RAD55%
Possession (%)
45%
0.70
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.79
11
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
12
7
Shots Inside Box
14
5
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
14
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
⏱ Match events
18 · 2 – 231'
▮
Abdoul Tapsoba
Yellow Card
36'
▮
Adrián Diéguez
Yellow Card
42'
⚽
Zié Ouattara
Assist · Maurides · 0–1
Ivan Brkić
Yellow Card
43'
Half-time · 0 – 1
Mbaye Ndiaye ↓ · Bradly van Hoeven ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Karol Czubak
1–1
58'
Filip Wójcik ↓ · Paweł Stolarski ↑
Substitution 2
59'
Fábio Ronaldo ↓ · Michał Król ↑
Substitution 3
60'
Mathieu Scalet ↓ · Mbaye Ndiaye ↑
Substitution 4
68'
72'
⇄
Michał Kaput ↓ · Ibrahima Camará ↑
Substitution 1
72'
⇄
Roberto Alves ↓ · Romário Baró ↑
Substitution 2
Renat Dadaşov ↓ · Karol Czubak ↑
Substitution 5
77'
77'
⇄
Elves Baldé ↓ · Capita ↑
Substitution 3
Mathieu Scalet
2–1
79'
85'
⇄
Depú ↓ · Rafał Wolski ↑
Substitution 4
85'
⇄
Vasco Lopes ↓ · Abdoul Tapsoba ↑
Substitution 5
87'
⚽
Depú
Assist · Jan Grzesik · 2–2
89'
▮
Zié Ouattara
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
9 · 6 W · 3 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 1.63 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.63 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.80 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.42 | — | 72% | Cashed | +0.42 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.69 | — | 58% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.22 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.22 | Cashed |
| Away Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.31 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.31 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 2.35 | — | 44% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.55 | — | 28% | Cashed | +2.55 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 3.00 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 9 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 6 W · 3 L | +1.93u | +21% ROI |