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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Poland Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce — Lechia Gdansk

Match Korona Kielce vs Lechia Gdansk September 27, 2025

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Home · last 5 D D L W D
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 12:45
3:0
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
Lechia Gdansk
L L L L L Away · last 5
Exbud Arena · Kielce Referee Karol Arys, Poland
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 62% · book 1.60
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 45% · book 1.65
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.31
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.65 – 1.10
Δ +0.55
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
5 / 10
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Korona Kielce arrives with solid home form and a strong defensive setup, making them tough to break down at EXBUD Arena. Lechia Gdansk, despite showing attacking potential, struggles defensively on the road, which may limit their scoring chances. The home side’s recent consistency and better points per game suggest a clear edge, though Lechia’s ability to find the net keeps the door open for goals from both sides. The model favors a home win with moderate goal scoring, highlighting value in backing Korona to win and the match to produce goals, but with a controlled tempo likely keeping totals around two to three goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

KOR 5-4-1 · LEC 4-4-2
Subs used · KOR
76' Matuszewski ↑ · Pięczek
76' Nono ↑ · Błanik
86' Davidović ↑ · Długosz
Subs used · LEC
46' Ćirković ↑ · Viunnyk
64' Awadalla ↑ · Bobček
81' Olsson ↑ · Kurminowski
90' Sezonienko ↑ · Mena
90' Szczepankiewicz ↑ · Neugebauer

📊 Statistics

KOR 30 LEC
43%
Possession (%)
57%
1.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.10
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
7
12
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
11
72%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

15 · 3 – 0
Wiktor Długosz
Assist · Marcel Pięczek · 1–0
16'
44'
Camilo Mena
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
Aleksandar Ćirković ↓ · Bogdan Viunnyk ↑
Substitution 1
Wiktor Długosz
Assist · Dawid Błanik · 2–0
51'
64'
Mohamed Awadalla ↓ · Tomáš Bobček ↑
Substitution 2
Pau Resta
Yellow Card
71'
Konrad Matuszewski ↓ · Marcel Pięczek ↑
Substitution 1
76'
Nono ↓ · Dawid Błanik ↑
Substitution 2
76'
Nono
Yellow Card
77'
79'
Miłosz Kałahur
Red Card
81'
Elias Olsson ↓ · Dawid Kurminowski ↑
Substitution 3
Martin Remacle
3–0
86'
Stjepan Davidović ↓ · Wiktor Długosz ↑
Substitution 3
86'
90'
Kacper Sezonienko ↓ · Camilo Mena ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Bartosz Szczepankiewicz ↓ · Tomasz Neugebauer ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 5 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.60 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.65 45% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.31 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.28 79% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.98 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.40 60% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Home Win 1.85 57% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Draw 4.00 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.00 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home -0.5 1.85 57% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 5 L −1.97u −20% ROI