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Football Poland Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa — Lech Poznan

Match Raków Częstochowa vs Lech Poznan September 24, 2025

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Wed 24 Sep · 16:45
2:2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
W W D W D Away · last 5
Referee Szymon Marciniak, Poland
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 65% · book 1.78
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.96
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 62% · book 1.74
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.53 – 0.72
Δ +1.81
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
6 / 10
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This clash features a home side struggling for form and scoring consistency, facing an away team with a stronger recent record and more potent attack. Raków’s defensive resilience at home is moderate but their attacking threat is limited, while Lech Poznan arrives with better momentum and a sharper offensive edge. The away side’s ability to create quality chances suggests a competitive game with goals likely, though Raków’s home advantage and defensive shape could keep the margin narrow. The model favors a close contest with a slight lean towards an away win or a draw. Totals around 2.5 goals appear balanced, with both teams likely to find the net, making BTTS a reasonable consideration.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RAK 3-4-2-1 · LEC 4-4-2
Subs used · RAK
46' Ameyaw ↑ · Racovitan
46' Diaby-Fadiga ↑ · Rondic
58' Repka ↑ · Arsenic
Subs used · LEC
63' Skrzypczak ↑ · Lisman
64' Agnero ↑ · Ishak
64' Bengtsson ↑ · Ismaheel
76' Gumny ↑ · Pereira
89' Fiabema ↑ · Kozubal

📊 Statistics

RAK 22 LEC
64%
Possession (%)
36%
2.53
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.72
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
2
11
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
2
4
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
15
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

18 · 2 – 2
29'
J. Pereira
Assist · L. Palma · 0–1
32'
Antoni Kozubal
Yellow Card
45'
L. Palma
Assist · A. Kozubal · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
M. Ameyaw ↓ · B. Racovitan ↑
Substitution 1
46'
L. Diaby-Fadiga ↓ · I. Rondic ↑
Substitution 2
46'
Fran Tudor
Yellow Card
45+3'
55'
Luis Palma
Red Card
55'
L. Palma
0–3
O. Repka ↓ · Z. Arsenic ↑
Substitution 3
58'
Oskar Repka
Yellow Card
61'
63'
M. Skrzypczak ↓ · K. Lisman ↑
Substitution 1
64'
Y. Agnero ↓ · M. Ishak ↑
Substitution 2
64'
L. Bengtsson ↓ · T. Ismaheel ↑
Substitution 3
P. Barath
Assist · M. Bulat · 1–3
64'
I. Lopez (P)
Penalty · 2–3
67'
76'
R. Gumny ↓ · J. Pereira ↑
Substitution 4
89'
B. Fiabema ↓ · A. Kozubal ↑
Substitution 5
Adriano
Yellow Card
90+5'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 6 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.78 65% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.96 52% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.74 62% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.40 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Team Total Over 0.5 1.39 70% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Home Win 2.20 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.81 28% Cashed +2.81 Cashed
Away Win 3.50 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.60 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.25 48% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 4 L +1.93u +19% ROI